Kingsway OTC Stock Future Price Prediction

KFSYF -  USA Stock  

USD 1.26  0.02  1.61%

Kingsway Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kingsway Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kingsway Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kingsway Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kingsway Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kingsway Financial Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please see Stocks Correlation.

Kingsway Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kingsway Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Kingsway stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kingsway Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using Kingsway Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kingsway Financial Services from the perspective of Kingsway Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Kingsway Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kingsway Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kingsway because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kingsway Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 1.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kingsway Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Kingsway Financial in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.051.004.94
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0231251.165.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.261.261.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kingsway Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kingsway Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kingsway Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Kingsway Financial.

Kingsway Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kingsway Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kingsway Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Kingsway Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Kingsway Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kingsway Financial's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kingsway Financial's historical news coverage. Kingsway Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.06 and 5.20, respectively. We have considered Kingsway Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.26
20th of October 2021
1.26
After-hype Price
5.20
Upside
Kingsway Financial is dangerous asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kingsway Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kingsway Financial OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Kingsway Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kingsway Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kingsway Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.57  3.94  0.00   0.79  2 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.261.260.00 
0.00  

Kingsway Financial Hype Timeline

Kingsway Financial is now traded for 1.26. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.79. Kingsway anticipated not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of about 0.0%. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.57%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Kingsway Financial is about 283.86%. The volatility of related hype on Kingsway Financial is about 283.86% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 0.47. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.27. Kingsway Financial had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in a few days.
Please see Stocks Correlation.

Kingsway Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kingsway Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kingsway Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Kingsway Financial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kingsway Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Kingsway Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kingsway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kingsway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kingsway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kingsway Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kingsway Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kingsway Financial Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kingsway Financial based on analysis of Kingsway Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kingsway Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kingsway Financial's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Kingsway Financial

The number of cover stories for Kingsway Financial depends on current market conditions and Kingsway Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kingsway Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kingsway Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Kingsway Financial Short Properties

Kingsway Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kingsway Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kingsway Financial Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kingsway Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kingsway Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Float Shares8.84M
Please see Stocks Correlation. Note that the Kingsway Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Kingsway Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

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When running Kingsway Financial price analysis, check to measure Kingsway Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kingsway Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Kingsway Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kingsway Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kingsway Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kingsway Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Kingsway Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kingsway that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kingsway Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kingsway Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kingsway Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kingsway Financial underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kingsway Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Kingsway Financial value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kingsway Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.