Kraft Heinz Co Stock Price Prediction
| KHC Stock | USD 37.11 0.21 0.57% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Kraft Heinz stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kraft Heinz shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kraft Heinz's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kraft Heinz and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kraft Heinz's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kraft Heinz Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kraft Heinz's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.69 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.04 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.21 | Wall Street Target Price 39.32 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kraft Heinz based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Kraft stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kraft Heinz over a specific investment horizon. Using Kraft Heinz hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kraft Heinz Co from the perspective of Kraft Heinz response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kraft Heinz using Kraft Heinz's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kraft using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kraft Heinz's stock price.
Kraft Heinz Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Kraft Heinz's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kraft. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kraft Heinz stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Kraft Heinz may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Kraft Heinz and may potentially protect profits, hedge Kraft Heinz with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 35.0636 | Short Percent 0.0253 | Short Ratio 2.66 | Shares Short Prior Month 21 M | 50 Day MA 35.9018 |
Kraft Heinz Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Kraft Heinz's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kraft. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kraft can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kraft Heinz Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kraft Heinz's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kraft Heinz.
Kraft Heinz Implied Volatility | 40.08 |
Kraft Heinz's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kraft Heinz Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kraft Heinz's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kraft Heinz stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kraft Heinz's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Kraft Heinz. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kraft Heinz to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kraft because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kraft Heinz after-hype prediction price | USD 36.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kraft contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kraft Heinz Co will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.51% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Kraft Heinz trading at USD 37.11, that is roughly USD 0.93 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kraft Heinz's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kraft Heinz Co options at the current volatility level of 40.08%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Kraft |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kraft Heinz's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kraft Heinz After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kraft Heinz at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kraft Heinz or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kraft Heinz, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kraft Heinz Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kraft Heinz's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kraft Heinz's historical news coverage. Kraft Heinz's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.58 and 37.92, respectively. We have considered Kraft Heinz's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kraft Heinz is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kraft Heinz is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kraft Heinz Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kraft Heinz is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kraft Heinz backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kraft Heinz, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.11 | 36.75 | 0.03 |
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Kraft Heinz Hype Timeline
On the 18th of April 2024 Kraft Heinz is traded for 37.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Kraft is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.75. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.01%. The volatility of related hype on Kraft Heinz is about 433.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.11. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.88. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Kraft Heinz has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Kraft Heinz Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kraft Heinz Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kraft Heinz's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kraft Heinz's future price movements. Getting to know how Kraft Heinz's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kraft Heinz may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CENT | Central Garden Pet | 0.17 | 10 per month | 1.64 | 0.03 | 3.20 | (2.99) | 10.31 | |
| CENTA | Central Garden Pet | 0.91 | 11 per month | 1.68 | (0) | 3.18 | (2.92) | 10.17 | |
| ACOPY | The A2 Milk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.16 | 4.67 | (4.32) | 20.80 | |
| AVOZ | Altavoz Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Kraft Heinz Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kraft price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kraft using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kraft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kraft Heinz Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kraft Heinz stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kraft Heinz Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kraft Heinz based on analysis of Kraft Heinz hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kraft Heinz's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kraft Heinz's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0433 | 0.0393 | 0.0353 | 0.0324 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.7 | 1.88 | 2.17 | 2.6 |
Story Coverage note for Kraft Heinz
The number of cover stories for Kraft Heinz depends on current market conditions and Kraft Heinz's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kraft Heinz is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kraft Heinz's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kraft Heinz Short Properties
Kraft Heinz's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kraft Heinz's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kraft Heinz Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kraft Heinz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kraft Heinz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Check out Kraft Heinz Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Kraft Heinz information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Kraft Heinz's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Kraft Stock analysis
When running Kraft Heinz's price analysis, check to measure Kraft Heinz's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kraft Heinz is operating at the current time. Most of Kraft Heinz's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kraft Heinz's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kraft Heinz's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kraft Heinz to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kraft Heinz's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kraft Heinz. If investors know Kraft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kraft Heinz listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.15) | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 2.31 | Revenue Per Share 21.711 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Kraft Heinz is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kraft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kraft Heinz's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kraft Heinz's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kraft Heinz's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kraft Heinz's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kraft Heinz's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kraft Heinz is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kraft Heinz's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.