Lithium Americas Corp Stock Price Prediction
| LAC Stock | USD 4.49 0.19 4.06% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
64
Oversold | Overbought |
Lithium Americas Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lithium Americas shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lithium Americas' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lithium Americas and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lithium Americas' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lithium Americas Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lithium Americas' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.126 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.04) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.12) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.22) | Wall Street Target Price 10.04 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lithium Americas based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lithium stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lithium Americas over a specific investment horizon. Using Lithium Americas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lithium Americas Corp from the perspective of Lithium Americas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lithium Americas using Lithium Americas' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lithium using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lithium Americas' stock price.
Lithium Americas Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lithium Americas' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lithium. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lithium Americas stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Lithium Americas may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lithium Americas and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lithium Americas with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.1815 | Short Percent 0.0924 | Short Ratio 2.79 | Shares Short Prior Month 15 M | 50 Day MA 5.7348 |
Lithium Americas Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lithium Americas' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lithium. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lithium can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lithium Americas Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lithium Americas' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lithium Americas.
Lithium Americas Implied Volatility | 61.41 |
Lithium Americas' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lithium Americas Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lithium Americas' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lithium Americas stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lithium Americas' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lithium Americas. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lithium Americas to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lithium because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lithium Americas after-hype prediction price | USD 4.49 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lithium |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lithium Americas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lithium Americas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lithium Americas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lithium Americas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lithium Americas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lithium Americas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lithium Americas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lithium Americas' historical news coverage. Lithium Americas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.22 and 10.74, respectively. We have considered Lithium Americas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lithium Americas is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lithium Americas Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lithium Americas Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lithium Americas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lithium Americas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lithium Americas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 6.30 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 10 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.49 | 4.49 | 0.00 |
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Lithium Americas Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April Lithium Americas Corp is traded for 4.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. Lithium is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lithium Americas is about 1968.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.44. About 19.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Lithium Americas was now reported as 2.52. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Lithium Americas Corp last dividend was issued on the 8th of November 2017. The entity had 1:5 split on the 8th of November 2017. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Lithium Americas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lithium Americas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lithium Americas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lithium Americas' future price movements. Getting to know how Lithium Americas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lithium Americas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SKE | Skeena Resources | 0.07 | 7 per month | 2.91 | 0.06 | 6.46 | (4.95) | 18.89 | |
| MTRN | Materion | (1.36) | 7 per month | 2.11 | (0.03) | 3.94 | (4.49) | 15.70 | |
| FURY | Fury Gold Mines | 0.01 | 9 per month | 2.71 | 0.09 | 12.20 | (5.56) | 22.33 | |
| ESKYF | Eskay Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.52 | 0.03 | 8.70 | (4.76) | 25.00 |
Lithium Americas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lithium price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lithium using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lithium charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lithium Americas Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lithium Americas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lithium Americas Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lithium Americas based on analysis of Lithium Americas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lithium Americas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lithium Americas's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 1.19 | 1.13 | Receivables Turnover | 2.86 | 3.69 |
Story Coverage note for Lithium Americas
The number of cover stories for Lithium Americas depends on current market conditions and Lithium Americas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lithium Americas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lithium Americas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lithium Americas Short Properties
Lithium Americas' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lithium Americas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lithium Americas Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lithium Americas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lithium Americas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 160.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 194.5 M |
Check out Lithium Americas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Lithium Americas Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lithium Americas' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Lithium Stock analysis
When running Lithium Americas' price analysis, check to measure Lithium Americas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lithium Americas is operating at the current time. Most of Lithium Americas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lithium Americas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lithium Americas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lithium Americas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lithium Americas' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lithium Americas. If investors know Lithium will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lithium Americas listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.126 | Earnings Share (0.02) | Revenue Per Share (0.02) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.081 | Return On Assets (0.07) |
The market value of Lithium Americas Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lithium that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lithium Americas' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lithium Americas' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lithium Americas' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lithium Americas' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lithium Americas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lithium Americas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lithium Americas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.