Lifestance Health Group Stock Price Prediction
| LFST Stock | USD 6.17 0.06 0.98% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Lifestance Health stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lifestance Health shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lifestance Health's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lifestance Health and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lifestance Health's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lifestance Health Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lifestance Health's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.11) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.28) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.21) | Wall Street Target Price 8.79 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.09) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lifestance Health based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lifestance stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lifestance Health over a specific investment horizon. Using Lifestance Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lifestance Health Group from the perspective of Lifestance Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lifestance Health using Lifestance Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lifestance using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lifestance Health's stock price.
Lifestance Health Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lifestance Health's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lifestance. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lifestance Health stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Lifestance Health may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lifestance Health and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lifestance Health with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 6.9714 | Short Percent 0.2591 | Short Ratio 12.08 | Shares Short Prior Month 20.8 M | 50 Day MA 6.4906 |
Lifestance Health Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lifestance Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lifestance. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lifestance can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lifestance Health Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lifestance Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lifestance Health.
Lifestance Health Implied Volatility | 89.41 |
Lifestance Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lifestance Health Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lifestance Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lifestance Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lifestance Health's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lifestance Health. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lifestance Health to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lifestance because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lifestance Health after-hype prediction price | USD 6.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lifestance contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lifestance Health Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.59% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Lifestance Health trading at USD 6.17, that is roughly USD 0.34 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lifestance Health's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lifestance Health Group options at the current volatility level of 89.41%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Lifestance |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lifestance Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lifestance Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lifestance Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lifestance Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lifestance Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lifestance Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lifestance Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lifestance Health's historical news coverage. Lifestance Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.11 and 11.23, respectively. We have considered Lifestance Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lifestance Health is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lifestance Health is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lifestance Health Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lifestance Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lifestance Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lifestance Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 5.06 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 10 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
6.17 | 6.17 | 0.00 |
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Lifestance Health Hype Timeline
Lifestance Health is now traded for 6.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Lifestance is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lifestance Health is about 4241.92%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.16. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.61. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lifestance Health recorded a loss per share of 0.51. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Lifestance Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lifestance Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lifestance Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lifestance Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Lifestance Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lifestance Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Lifestance Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lifestance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lifestance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lifestance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lifestance Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lifestance Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lifestance Health Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lifestance Health based on analysis of Lifestance Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lifestance Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lifestance Health's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 9.98 | 7.64 | 6.66 | 4.34 | Receivables Turnover | 8.77 | 8.52 | 8.4 | 9.87 |
Story Coverage note for Lifestance Health
The number of cover stories for Lifestance Health depends on current market conditions and Lifestance Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lifestance Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lifestance Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lifestance Health Short Properties
Lifestance Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lifestance Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lifestance Health Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lifestance Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lifestance Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 367.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 78.8 M |
Check out Lifestance Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Complementary Tools for Lifestance Stock analysis
When running Lifestance Health's price analysis, check to measure Lifestance Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lifestance Health is operating at the current time. Most of Lifestance Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lifestance Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lifestance Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lifestance Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lifestance Health's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lifestance Health. If investors know Lifestance will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lifestance Health listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.51) | Revenue Per Share 2.873 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.223 | Return On Assets (0.05) | Return On Equity (0.13) |
The market value of Lifestance Health is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lifestance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lifestance Health's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lifestance Health's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lifestance Health's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lifestance Health's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lifestance Health's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lifestance Health is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lifestance Health's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.