LGLIX Mutual Fund Price Prediction Breakdown

LGLIX -  USA Fund  

USD 52.09  0.23  0.44%

Lord Abbett Growth fund price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lord Abbett shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lord Abbett's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lord Abbett and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lord Abbett's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lord Abbett Growth, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Lord Abbett Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

LGLIX Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lord Abbett based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The LGLIX price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lord Abbett over a specific investment horizon. Using Lord Abbett hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lord Abbett Growth from the perspective of Lord Abbett response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lord Abbett. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lord Abbett to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LGLIX because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lord Abbett after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 52.09  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lord Abbett's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Lord Abbett in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
46.8853.4854.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
53.2154.3055.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.4350.9153.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lord Abbett. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lord Abbett's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lord Abbett's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Lord Abbett Growth.

Lord Abbett After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lord Abbett at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lord Abbett or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Lord Abbett, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Lord Abbett Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lord Abbett's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lord Abbett's historical news coverage. Lord Abbett's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.01 and 53.17, respectively. We have considered Lord Abbett's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
52.09
23rd of October 2021
52.09
After-hype Price
53.17
Upside
Lord Abbett is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lord Abbett Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lord Abbett Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Lord Abbett is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lord Abbett backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lord Abbett, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06  1.08  0.00   0.01  0 Events / Month1 Events / MonthUncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
52.0952.090.00 
0.00  

Lord Abbett Hype Timeline

Lord Abbett Growth is now traded for 52.09. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. LGLIX forecasted not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of about 0.0%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Lord Abbett is about 562.5%. The volatility of related hype on Lord Abbett is about 562.5% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 52.1. The company next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 12th of April 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be uncertain.
Additionally, see Lord Abbett Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lord Abbett Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lord Abbett's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lord Abbett's future price movements. Getting to know how Lord Abbett rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lord Abbett may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Lord Abbett Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LGLIX price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LGLIX using various technical indicators. When you analyze LGLIX charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lord Abbett Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lord Abbett stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lord Abbett Growth, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lord Abbett based on analysis of Lord Abbett hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lord Abbett's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lord Abbett's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Lord Abbett

The number of cover stories for Lord Abbett depends on current market conditions and Lord Abbett's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lord Abbett is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lord Abbett's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additionally, see Lord Abbett Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Lord Abbett Growth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lord Abbett's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for LGLIX Mutual Fund analysis

When running Lord Abbett Growth price analysis, check to measure Lord Abbett's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lord Abbett is operating at the current time. Most of Lord Abbett's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lord Abbett's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lord Abbett's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lord Abbett to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Lord Abbett's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Lord Abbett value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lord Abbett's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.