Lightinthebox Holding Co Stock Price Prediction
| LITB Stock | USD 0.75 0.02 2.60% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
LightInTheBox Holding stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of LightInTheBox Holding shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of LightInTheBox Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of LightInTheBox Holding and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from LightInTheBox Holding's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with LightInTheBox Holding Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting LightInTheBox Holding's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.054 | Wall Street Target Price 3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of LightInTheBox Holding based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The LightInTheBox stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on LightInTheBox Holding over a specific investment horizon. Using LightInTheBox Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LightInTheBox Holding Co from the perspective of LightInTheBox Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in LightInTheBox Holding. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LightInTheBox Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LightInTheBox because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LightInTheBox Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 0.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
LightInTheBox |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LightInTheBox Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LightInTheBox Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LightInTheBox Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LightInTheBox Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LightInTheBox Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LightInTheBox Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LightInTheBox Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LightInTheBox Holding's historical news coverage. LightInTheBox Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 5.06, respectively. We have considered LightInTheBox Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LightInTheBox Holding is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LightInTheBox Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
LightInTheBox Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LightInTheBox Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LightInTheBox Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LightInTheBox Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 4.34 | 0.03 | 0.11 | 8 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.75 | 0.72 | 4.00 |
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LightInTheBox Holding Hype Timeline
LightInTheBox Holding is now traded for 0.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. LightInTheBox is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.72. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.0%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on LightInTheBox Holding is about 1627.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.86. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.08. LightInTheBox Holding had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out LightInTheBox Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LightInTheBox Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LightInTheBox Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LightInTheBox Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how LightInTheBox Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LightInTheBox Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PDD | Pinduoduo | (2.27) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.83 | (4.65) | 13.07 | |
| SE | Sea | (0.61) | 9 per month | 1.73 | 0.27 | 6.11 | (3.56) | 10.55 | |
| MELI | MercadoLibre | 3.15 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.30 | (3.63) | 14.99 | |
| BABA | Alibaba Group Holding | (0.89) | 7 per month | 2.11 | (0) | 3.34 | (3.91) | 13.72 | |
| GLBE | Global E Online | (0.25) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.55 | (3.72) | 21.75 | |
| ETSY | Etsy Inc | 2.47 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.76 | (4.10) | 17.54 |
LightInTheBox Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine LightInTheBox price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LightInTheBox using various technical indicators. When you analyze LightInTheBox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LightInTheBox Holding Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LightInTheBox Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LightInTheBox Holding Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LightInTheBox Holding based on analysis of LightInTheBox Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LightInTheBox Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LightInTheBox Holding's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 10.17 | 8.62 | 17.01 | 8.84 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 18.29 | 22.78 | 13.83 | 20.38 |
Story Coverage note for LightInTheBox Holding
The number of cover stories for LightInTheBox Holding depends on current market conditions and LightInTheBox Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that LightInTheBox Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about LightInTheBox Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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LightInTheBox Holding Short Properties
LightInTheBox Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when LightInTheBox Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of LightInTheBox Holding Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential LightInTheBox Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. LightInTheBox Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 71.7 M |
Check out LightInTheBox Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Complementary Tools for LightInTheBox Stock analysis
When running LightInTheBox Holding's price analysis, check to measure LightInTheBox Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LightInTheBox Holding is operating at the current time. Most of LightInTheBox Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LightInTheBox Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LightInTheBox Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LightInTheBox Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is LightInTheBox Holding's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of LightInTheBox Holding. If investors know LightInTheBox will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about LightInTheBox Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.054 | Earnings Share (0.08) | Revenue Per Share 5.572 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.13) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of LightInTheBox Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LightInTheBox that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of LightInTheBox Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is LightInTheBox Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because LightInTheBox Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect LightInTheBox Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between LightInTheBox Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if LightInTheBox Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, LightInTheBox Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.