Lam Research Corp Stock Price Prediction
| LRCX Stock | USD 870.25 18.67 2.10% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Lam Research Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lam Research shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lam Research's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lam Research and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lam Research's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lam Research Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lam Research's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 6.64 | EPS Estimate Current Year 29.16 | EPS Estimate Next Year 35.82 | Wall Street Target Price 950.22 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lam Research based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lam stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lam Research over a specific investment horizon. Using Lam Research hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lam Research Corp from the perspective of Lam Research response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lam Research using Lam Research's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lam using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lam Research's stock price.
Lam Research Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lam Research's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lam. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lam Research stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Lam Research may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lam Research and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lam Research with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 751.1466 | Short Percent 0.0197 | Short Ratio 2.46 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.4 M | 50 Day MA 940.2714 |
Lam Research Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lam Research's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lam. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lam can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lam Research Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lam Research's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lam Research.
Lam Research Implied Volatility | 59.91 |
Lam Research's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lam Research Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lam Research's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lam Research stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lam Research's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lam Research. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lam Research to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lam because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lam Research after-hype prediction price | USD 888.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Lam contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Lam Research Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.74% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Lam Research trading at USD 870.25, that is roughly USD 32.58 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Lam Research's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Lam Research Corp options at the current volatility level of 59.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Lam |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lam Research's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lam Research After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lam Research at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lam Research or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lam Research, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lam Research Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lam Research's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lam Research's historical news coverage. Lam Research's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 885.91 and 890.11, respectively. We have considered Lam Research's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lam Research is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lam Research Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lam Research Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lam Research is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lam Research backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lam Research, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.10 | 0.91 | 0.16 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
870.25 | 888.01 | 0.10 |
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Lam Research Hype Timeline
Lam Research Corp is now traded for 870.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.91, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Lam is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 888.01. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 30.13%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Lam Research is about 168.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 870.41. About 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.72. Lam Research Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 25.91. The entity last dividend was issued on the 12th of March 2024. The firm had 3:1 split on the 17th of March 2000. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Lam Research Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lam Research Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lam Research's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lam Research's future price movements. Getting to know how Lam Research's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lam Research may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ASML | ASML Holding NV | 11.80 | 9 per month | 2.10 | 0.13 | 4.33 | (3.06) | 15.95 | |
| KLAC | KLA Tencor | 1.70 | 10 per month | 2.08 | 0.07 | 4.89 | (3.33) | 11.48 | |
| ACLS | Axcelis Technologies | (1.81) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 4.43 | (3.75) | 11.78 | |
| TER | Teradyne | (1.04) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.23 | (3.89) | 10.71 | |
| AMAT | Applied Materials | 0.36 | 11 per month | 1.83 | 0.13 | 4.74 | (3.32) | 12.10 | |
| AEHR | Aehr Test Systems | 0.13 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 8.54 | (5.85) | 32.78 | |
| PLAB | Photronics | 0.28 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.97 | (3.66) | 20.15 | |
| KLIC | Kulicke and Soffa | (1.08) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.58 | (3.67) | 13.29 | |
| ENTG | Entegris | 0.73 | 9 per month | 1.68 | 0.06 | 3.95 | (3.49) | 10.18 | |
| IPGP | IPG Photonics | 1.37 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.19 | (2.82) | 18.60 |
Lam Research Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lam price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lam using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lam charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lam Research Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lam Research stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lam Research Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lam Research based on analysis of Lam Research hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lam Research's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lam Research's related companies. | 2018 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0108 | 0.0233 | 0.0278 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.82 | 3.02 | 1.94 |
Story Coverage note for Lam Research
The number of cover stories for Lam Research depends on current market conditions and Lam Research's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lam Research is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lam Research's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lam Research Short Properties
Lam Research's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lam Research's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lam Research Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lam Research's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lam Research's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 135.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.4 B |
Check out Lam Research Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Lam Research Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lam Research's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Lam Stock analysis
When running Lam Research's price analysis, check to measure Lam Research's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lam Research is operating at the current time. Most of Lam Research's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lam Research's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lam Research's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lam Research to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lam Research's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lam Research. If investors know Lam will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lam Research listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Dividend Share 7.45 | Earnings Share 25.91 | Revenue Per Share 107.407 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.29) |
The market value of Lam Research Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lam that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lam Research's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lam Research's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lam Research's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lam Research's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lam Research's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lam Research is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lam Research's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.