Nk Lukoil Pao Stock Price Prediction

LUKOY Stock  USD 6.96  0.00  0.00%   
At this time the value of rsi of NK Lukoil's share price is below 20 . This indicates that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

0

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
NK Lukoil PAO stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of NK Lukoil shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of NK Lukoil's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of NK Lukoil and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from NK Lukoil's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NK Lukoil PAO, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of NK Lukoil based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The LUKOY stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on NK Lukoil over a specific investment horizon. Using NK Lukoil hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NK Lukoil PAO from the perspective of NK Lukoil response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in NK Lukoil. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NK Lukoil to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying LUKOY because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

NK Lukoil after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.96  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out NK Lukoil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NK Lukoil's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.966.966.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6.966.966.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.966.966.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as NK Lukoil. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against NK Lukoil's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, NK Lukoil's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in NK Lukoil PAO.

NK Lukoil After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of NK Lukoil at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NK Lukoil or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NK Lukoil, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

NK Lukoil Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting NK Lukoil's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NK Lukoil's historical news coverage. NK Lukoil's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.96 and 6.96, respectively. We have considered NK Lukoil's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.96
6.96
After-hype Price
6.96
Upside
NK Lukoil is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NK Lukoil PAO is based on 3 months time horizon.

NK Lukoil Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NK Lukoil is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NK Lukoil backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NK Lukoil, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.96
6.96
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

NK Lukoil Hype Timeline

NK Lukoil PAO is now traded for 6.96. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. LUKOY is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on NK Lukoil is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.96. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.06. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NK Lukoil PAO recorded earning per share (EPS) of 17.46. The entity last dividend was issued on the 20th of December 2021. The firm had 4:1 split on the 5th of May 2005. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out NK Lukoil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

NK Lukoil Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to NK Lukoil's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NK Lukoil's future price movements. Getting to know how NK Lukoil rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NK Lukoil may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

NK Lukoil Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine LUKOY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for LUKOY using various technical indicators. When you analyze LUKOY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About NK Lukoil Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of NK Lukoil stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NK Lukoil PAO, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NK Lukoil based on analysis of NK Lukoil hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NK Lukoil's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NK Lukoil's related companies.

Story Coverage note for NK Lukoil

The number of cover stories for NK Lukoil depends on current market conditions and NK Lukoil's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NK Lukoil is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NK Lukoil's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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NK Lukoil Short Properties

NK Lukoil's future price predictability will typically decrease when NK Lukoil's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NK Lukoil PAO often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NK Lukoil's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NK Lukoil's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding650.3 M
When determining whether NK Lukoil PAO offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of NK Lukoil's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Nk Lukoil Pao Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Nk Lukoil Pao Stock:
Check out NK Lukoil Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.

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When running NK Lukoil's price analysis, check to measure NK Lukoil's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NK Lukoil is operating at the current time. Most of NK Lukoil's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NK Lukoil's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NK Lukoil's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NK Lukoil to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NK Lukoil's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NK Lukoil. If investors know LUKOY will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NK Lukoil listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of NK Lukoil PAO is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of LUKOY that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NK Lukoil's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NK Lukoil's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NK Lukoil's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NK Lukoil's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NK Lukoil's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NK Lukoil is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NK Lukoil's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.