Lloyds Banking Group Stock Price Prediction
| LYG Stock | USD 2.53 0.01 0.40% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Lloyds Banking Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lloyds Banking shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lloyds Banking's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lloyds Banking and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lloyds Banking's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lloyds Banking Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lloyds Banking's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.06 | Wall Street Target Price 3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.285 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lloyds Banking based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lloyds stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lloyds Banking over a specific investment horizon. Using Lloyds Banking hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lloyds Banking Group from the perspective of Lloyds Banking response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Lloyds Banking using Lloyds Banking's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Lloyds using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Lloyds Banking's stock price.
Lloyds Banking Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Lloyds Banking's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Lloyds. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Lloyds Banking stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Lloyds Banking may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Lloyds Banking and may potentially protect profits, hedge Lloyds Banking with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.2297 | Short Ratio 0.7 | Shares Short Prior Month 9.1 M | 50 Day MA 2.4306 | Shares Short 7.1 M |
Lloyds Banking Group Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Lloyds Banking's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Lloyds. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Lloyds can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Lloyds Banking Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Lloyds Banking's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Lloyds Banking.
Lloyds Banking Implied Volatility | 68.4 |
Lloyds Banking's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Lloyds Banking Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Lloyds Banking's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Lloyds Banking stock will not fluctuate a lot when Lloyds Banking's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lloyds Banking. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lloyds Banking to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lloyds because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lloyds Banking after-hype prediction price | USD 2.51 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lloyds |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lloyds Banking's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lloyds Banking After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lloyds Banking at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lloyds Banking or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lloyds Banking, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lloyds Banking Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lloyds Banking's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lloyds Banking's historical news coverage. Lloyds Banking's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.03 and 3.99, respectively. We have considered Lloyds Banking's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lloyds Banking is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lloyds Banking Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lloyds Banking Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lloyds Banking is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lloyds Banking backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lloyds Banking, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.36 | 1.48 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.53 | 2.51 | 0.79 |
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Lloyds Banking Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of April Lloyds Banking Group is traded for 2.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Lloyds is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.51. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.79%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Lloyds Banking is about 507.43%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.42. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.66. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lloyds Banking Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.79. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of April 2024. The firm had 1:1 split on the 6th of May 2009. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Lloyds Banking Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lloyds Banking Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lloyds Banking's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lloyds Banking's future price movements. Getting to know how Lloyds Banking's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lloyds Banking may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| KEY-PI | KeyCorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.57 | (0) | 1.95 | (2.05) | 7.48 | |
| FMBH | First Mid Illinois | 0.22 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.51 | (2.91) | 9.62 | |
| FINW | Finwise Bancorp | 0.20 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.49 | (5.09) | 17.17 | |
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (0.50) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.82 | (3.33) | 11.98 | |
| EFSC | Enterprise Financial Services | (1.17) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.68 | (3.38) | 7.84 | |
| AFBI | Affinity Bancshares | (0.50) | 1 per month | 1.43 | 0 | 2.06 | (2.30) | 10.50 |
Lloyds Banking Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lloyds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lloyds using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lloyds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lloyds Banking Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lloyds Banking stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lloyds Banking Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lloyds Banking based on analysis of Lloyds Banking hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lloyds Banking's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lloyds Banking's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.006544 | 0.0117 | 0.0135 | 0.0128 | Price To Sales Ratio | 8.21 | 5.5K | 6.35 | 6.03 |
Story Coverage note for Lloyds Banking
The number of cover stories for Lloyds Banking depends on current market conditions and Lloyds Banking's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lloyds Banking is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lloyds Banking's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lloyds Banking Short Properties
Lloyds Banking's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lloyds Banking's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lloyds Banking Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lloyds Banking's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lloyds Banking's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 79 B |
Check out Lloyds Banking Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Lloyds Stock analysis
When running Lloyds Banking's price analysis, check to measure Lloyds Banking's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lloyds Banking is operating at the current time. Most of Lloyds Banking's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lloyds Banking's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lloyds Banking's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lloyds Banking to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lloyds Banking's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lloyds Banking. If investors know Lloyds will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lloyds Banking listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.06 | Dividend Share 0.028 | Earnings Share 0.37 | Revenue Per Share 1.132 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.285 |
The market value of Lloyds Banking Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lloyds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lloyds Banking's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lloyds Banking's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lloyds Banking's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lloyds Banking's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lloyds Banking's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lloyds Banking is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lloyds Banking's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.