Magellan OTC Stock Future Price Prediction

MALJF -  USA Stock  

USD 7.30  0.10  1.35%

Magellan Aerospace stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Magellan Aerospace shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Magellan Aerospace's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Magellan Aerospace and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Magellan Aerospace's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Magellan Aerospace C, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Magellan Aerospace Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Magellan Price Prediction 

 
Refresh
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Magellan Aerospace based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Magellan stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Magellan Aerospace over a specific investment horizon. Using Magellan Aerospace hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Magellan Aerospace C from the perspective of Magellan Aerospace response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Magellan Aerospace. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Magellan Aerospace to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Magellan because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Magellan Aerospace after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 7.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Magellan Aerospace's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Magellan Aerospace in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.827.709.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.347.229.10
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.348.279.20
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Magellan Aerospace. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Magellan Aerospace's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Magellan Aerospace's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Magellan Aerospace.

Magellan Aerospace After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Magellan Aerospace at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Magellan Aerospace or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Magellan Aerospace, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Magellan Aerospace Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Magellan Aerospace's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Magellan Aerospace's historical news coverage. Magellan Aerospace's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.43 and 9.19, respectively. We have considered Magellan Aerospace's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.30
5th of December 2021
7.31
After-hype Price
9.19
Upside
Magellan Aerospace is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Magellan Aerospace is based on 3 months time horizon.

Magellan Aerospace OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Magellan Aerospace is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Magellan Aerospace backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Magellan Aerospace, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.19  1.88  0.01   0.41  1 Events / Month3 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.307.310.14 
6,267  

Magellan Aerospace Hype Timeline

Magellan Aerospace is now traded for 7.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.41. Magellan is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 7.31 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is anticipated to be 0.14% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Magellan Aerospace is about 87.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 7.71. The company reported the revenue of 687.35 M. Net Loss for the year was (18.54 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 77.8 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be very soon.
Additionally, see Magellan Aerospace Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Magellan Aerospace Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Magellan Aerospace's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Magellan Aerospace's future price movements. Getting to know how Magellan Aerospace rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Magellan Aerospace may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Magellan Aerospace Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Magellan price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Magellan using various technical indicators. When you analyze Magellan charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Magellan Aerospace Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Magellan Aerospace stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Magellan Aerospace C, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Magellan Aerospace based on analysis of Magellan Aerospace hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Magellan Aerospace's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Magellan Aerospace's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Magellan Aerospace

The number of cover stories for Magellan Aerospace depends on current market conditions and Magellan Aerospace's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Magellan Aerospace is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Magellan Aerospace's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Magellan Aerospace Short Properties

Magellan Aerospace's future price predictability will typically decrease when Magellan Aerospace's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Magellan Aerospace C often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Magellan Aerospace's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Magellan Aerospace's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.42
Float Shares12.41M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day170
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.77k
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.17%
Additionally, see Magellan Aerospace Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Magellan Aerospace information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Magellan Aerospace's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for Magellan OTC Stock analysis

When running Magellan Aerospace price analysis, check to measure Magellan Aerospace's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Magellan Aerospace is operating at the current time. Most of Magellan Aerospace's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Magellan Aerospace's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Magellan Aerospace's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Magellan Aerospace to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Go
Price Transformation
Use Price Transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets
Go
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Go
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Go
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Go
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Go
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing
Go
Is Magellan Aerospace's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Magellan Aerospace. If investors know Magellan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Magellan Aerospace listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Magellan Aerospace is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Magellan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Magellan Aerospace's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Magellan Aerospace's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Magellan Aerospace's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Magellan Aerospace's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Magellan Aerospace's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Magellan Aerospace value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Magellan Aerospace's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.