McDonalds Stock Future Price Prediction

MCD -  USA Stock  

USD 236.95  3.15  1.31%

McDonalds Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of McDonalds Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of McDonalds Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of McDonalds Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from McDonalds Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with McDonalds Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see McDonalds Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of McDonalds Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The McDonalds stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on McDonalds Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using McDonalds Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of McDonalds Corp from the perspective of McDonalds Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
McDonalds Corp Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Long Term Debt to Equity was at 3.06. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 30.14, whereas Operating Margin is forecasted to decline to 33.70.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in McDonalds Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in McDonalds Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying McDonalds because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

McDonalds Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 236.93  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of McDonalds Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of McDonalds Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
213.26245.11246.07
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
237.95238.91239.87
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
225.00253.18283.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (12)
LowProjected EPSHigh
8.318.628.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as McDonalds Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against McDonalds Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, McDonalds Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in McDonalds Corp.

McDonalds Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of McDonalds Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in McDonalds Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of McDonalds Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

McDonalds Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting McDonalds Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on McDonalds Corp's historical news coverage. McDonalds Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 235.97 and 237.89, respectively. We have considered McDonalds Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
236.95
3rd of August 2021
235.97
Downside
236.93
After-hype Price
237.89
Upside
McDonalds Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of McDonalds Corp is based on 1 month time horizon.

McDonalds Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as McDonalds Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading McDonalds Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with McDonalds Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.09  1.17  0.10   0.22  10 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
236.95236.930.01 
100.86  

McDonalds Corp Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of August McDonalds Corp is traded for 236.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.22. McDonalds is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 236.93. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 100.86%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.01% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on McDonalds Corp is about 47.03% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 237.17. About 69.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.32. McDonalds Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.89. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 28th of May 2021. The firm had 2:1 split on the 8th of March 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 10 days.
Additionally, see McDonalds Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

McDonalds Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to McDonalds Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict McDonalds Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how McDonalds Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how McDonalds Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Biglari Holdings 15.14 6 per month 1.43  0.15  2.67 (1.82)  6.58 
Bbq Holdings(0.07) 7 per month 0.00 (0.23)  4.26 (7.38)  11.75 
Flanigans Enterprises(1.98) 5 per month 0.00 (0.27)  4.69 (8.28)  15.45 
Burgerfi Intl 0.34 9 per month 1.68  0.20  6.07 (2.61)  10.93 
Chipotle Mexican Grill 13.18 8 per month 0.45  0.31  2.42 (1.35)  12.85 
Dineequity 0.77 5 per month 0.00 (0.20)  3.94 (3.73)  11.20 
Dominos Pizza(3.76) 9 per month 0.65  0.18  1.91 (2.48)  17.05 
Brinker International(1.37) 7 per month 0.00 (0.17)  5.74 (5.57)  11.70 
Fiesta Restaurant Gp 0.14 6 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.86 (3.54)  7.23 

McDonalds Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine McDonalds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for McDonalds using various technical indicators. When you analyze McDonalds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About McDonalds Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of McDonalds Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as McDonalds Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of McDonalds Corp based on analysis of McDonalds Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to McDonalds Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to McDonalds Corp's related companies.
 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity3.063.31
Interest Coverage5.96.05

Story Coverage note for McDonalds Corp

The number of cover stories for McDonalds Corp depends on current market conditions and McDonalds Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that McDonalds Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about McDonalds Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

McDonalds Corp Short Properties

McDonalds Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when McDonalds Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of McDonalds Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential McDonalds Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. McDonalds Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.77%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate5.08
Short Percent Of Float0.77%
Float Shares745.56M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.06M
Shares Short Prior Month6.34M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.44M
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.06%
Additionally, see McDonalds Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the McDonalds Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other McDonalds Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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When running McDonalds Corp price analysis, check to measure McDonalds Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy McDonalds Corp is operating at the current time. Most of McDonalds Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of McDonalds Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move McDonalds Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of McDonalds Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of McDonalds Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of McDonalds that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of McDonalds Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is McDonalds Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because McDonalds Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect McDonalds Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between McDonalds Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine McDonalds Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, McDonalds Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.