MAINSTAY Mutual Fund Price Prediction Breakdown

MDHRX Fund  USD 9.32  0.02  0.21%   
MAINSTAY SHORT DURATION fund price prediction is an act of determining the future value of MAINSTAY SHORT shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of MAINSTAY SHORT's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of MAINSTAY SHORT and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from MAINSTAY SHORT's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MAINSTAY SHORT DURATION, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see MAINSTAY SHORT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether fund price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of MAINSTAY SHORT based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The MAINSTAY price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MAINSTAY SHORT over a specific investment horizon.Using MAINSTAY SHORT hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of MAINSTAY SHORT DURATION from the perspective of MAINSTAY SHORT response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in MAINSTAY SHORT. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in MAINSTAY SHORT to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying MAINSTAY because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

MAINSTAY SHORT after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of MAINSTAY SHORT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of MAINSTAY SHORT in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
8.328.5410.25
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
9.079.309.52
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.039.209.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MAINSTAY SHORT. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MAINSTAY SHORT's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MAINSTAY SHORT's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in MAINSTAY SHORT DURATION.

MAINSTAY SHORT After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of MAINSTAY SHORT at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in MAINSTAY SHORT or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of MAINSTAY SHORT, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

MAINSTAY SHORT Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting MAINSTAY SHORT's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on MAINSTAY SHORT's historical news coverage. MAINSTAY SHORT's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.10 and 9.54, respectively. We have considered MAINSTAY SHORT's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 9.32
9.32
After-hype Price
9.54
Upside
MAINSTAY SHORT is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MAINSTAY SHORT DURATION is based on 3 months time horizon.

MAINSTAY SHORT Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as MAINSTAY SHORT is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading MAINSTAY SHORT backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with MAINSTAY SHORT, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.06  0.22  0.00   0.00  0 Events / Month1 Events / MonthUncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.329.320.00 
0.00  

MAINSTAY SHORT Hype Timeline

MAINSTAY SHORT DURATION is now traded for 9.32. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. MAINSTAY projected not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis projected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to MAINSTAY SHORT is about 455.17%. The volatility of related hype on MAINSTAY SHORT is about 455.17% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 9.32. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.65. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be uncertain.
Additionally, see MAINSTAY SHORT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MAINSTAY SHORT Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to MAINSTAY SHORT's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict MAINSTAY SHORT's future price movements. Getting to know how MAINSTAY SHORT rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how MAINSTAY SHORT may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

MAINSTAY SHORT Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine MAINSTAY price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for MAINSTAY using various technical indicators. When you analyze MAINSTAY charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About MAINSTAY SHORT Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of MAINSTAY SHORT stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as MAINSTAY SHORT DURATION, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of MAINSTAY SHORT based on analysis of MAINSTAY SHORT hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to MAINSTAY SHORT's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to MAINSTAY SHORT's related companies.

Story Coverage note for MAINSTAY SHORT

The number of cover stories for MAINSTAY SHORT depends on current market conditions and MAINSTAY SHORT's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that MAINSTAY SHORT is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about MAINSTAY SHORT's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Additionally, see MAINSTAY SHORT Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running MAINSTAY SHORT DURATION price analysis, check to measure MAINSTAY SHORT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MAINSTAY SHORT is operating at the current time. Most of MAINSTAY SHORT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MAINSTAY SHORT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MAINSTAY SHORT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MAINSTAY SHORT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between MAINSTAY SHORT's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine MAINSTAY SHORT value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MAINSTAY SHORT's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.