Mfs International Growth Fund Price Prediction

MGRCX Fund  USD 37.54  0.07  0.19%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Mfs International's the mutual fund price is slightly above 68. This indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Mfs, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

68

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Mfs International Growth fund price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Mfs International shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Mfs International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mfs International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mfs International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mfs International Growth, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether fund price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Mfs International based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Mfs price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Mfs International over a specific investment horizon. Using Mfs International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mfs International Growth from the perspective of Mfs International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Mfs International. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mfs International to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mfs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Mfs International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Mfs International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mfs International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.7940.5441.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
36.5137.2237.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.3437.4737.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Mfs International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Mfs International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Mfs International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Mfs International Growth.

Mfs International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Mfs International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mfs International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Mfs International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Mfs International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Mfs International's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mfs International's historical news coverage. Mfs International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.84 and 38.24, respectively. We have considered Mfs International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
37.54
37.54
After-hype Price
38.24
Upside
Mfs International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mfs International Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.

Mfs International Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Mfs International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mfs International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mfs International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
0.70
 0.00  
  0.03 
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.54
37.54
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Mfs International Hype Timeline

Mfs International Growth is now traded for 37.54. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.03. Mfs is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on Mfs International is about 167.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 37.51. The company last dividend was issued on the 12th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Mfs International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mfs International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Mfs International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mfs International's future price movements. Getting to know how Mfs International rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mfs International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FPPJXMfs Prudent Investor(0.21)1 per month 0.37 (0.24) 0.62 (0.79) 1.68 
FPPQXMfs Prudent Investor(0.08)1 per month 0.34 (0.25) 0.62 (0.70) 1.67 
FPPRXMfs Prudent Investor 0.00 0 per month 0.35 (0.26) 0.62 (0.71) 1.68 
FPPSXMfs Prudent Investor(0.15)1 per month 0.34 (0.25) 0.61 (0.79) 1.68 
FPPUXMfs Prudent Investor 0.00 0 per month 0.30 (0.25) 0.61 (0.70) 1.67 
FPPVXMfs Prudent Investor(0.21)1 per month 0.31 (0.26) 0.61 (0.70) 1.59 
MBABXMfs Alabama Municipal 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.67) 0.32 (0.32) 1.47 
MBAGXMfs Aggressive Growth(0.63)1 per month 0.39 (0.03) 0.94 (0.88) 2.51 
MSRRXMfs Research Fund(2.90)1 per month 0.37  0.03  1.17 (0.95) 3.06 
MBCAXMfs California Municipal 0.00 0 per month 0.14 (0.61) 0.36 (0.36) 1.61 

Mfs International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Mfs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mfs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mfs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Mfs International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Mfs International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mfs International Growth, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mfs International based on analysis of Mfs International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mfs International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mfs International's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Mfs International

The number of cover stories for Mfs International depends on current market conditions and Mfs International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mfs International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mfs International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out Mfs International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Mfs International Growth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mfs International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Mfs Mutual Fund analysis

When running Mfs International's price analysis, check to measure Mfs International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mfs International is operating at the current time. Most of Mfs International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mfs International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mfs International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mfs International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Portfolio File Import
Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format
Instant Ratings
Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Companies Directory
Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mfs International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mfs International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mfs International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.