Mitek Systems Stock Price Prediction
| MITK Stock | USD 12.68 0.50 4.11% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
74
Oversold | Overbought |
Mitek Systems stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Mitek Systems shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Mitek Systems' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mitek Systems and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mitek Systems' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mitek Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Mitek Systems' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.323 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.31 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.02 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.16 | Wall Street Target Price 19.2 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Mitek Systems based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Mitek stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Mitek Systems over a specific investment horizon. Using Mitek Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mitek Systems from the perspective of Mitek Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Mitek Systems using Mitek Systems' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Mitek using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Mitek Systems' stock price.
Mitek Systems Implied Volatility | 50.66 |
Mitek Systems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mitek Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mitek Systems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mitek Systems stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mitek Systems' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Mitek Systems. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mitek Systems to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mitek because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mitek Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 12.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mitek |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mitek Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mitek Systems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mitek Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mitek Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mitek Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mitek Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mitek Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mitek Systems' historical news coverage. Mitek Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.00 and 15.32, respectively. We have considered Mitek Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mitek Systems is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mitek Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mitek Systems Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mitek Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mitek Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mitek Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 2.66 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.68 | 12.66 | 0.16 |
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Mitek Systems Hype Timeline
Mitek Systems is now traded for 12.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Mitek is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.66. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.06%. The volatility of related hype on Mitek Systems is about 967.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.66. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Mitek Systems was now reported as 4.59. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.28. Mitek Systems recorded a loss per share of 0.06. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Mitek Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mitek Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mitek Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mitek Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how Mitek Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mitek Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AI | C3 Ai Inc | (1.46) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.84 | (5.85) | 32.77 | |
| SHOP | Shopify | 0.23 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.43 | (3.85) | 21.49 | |
| SNOW | Snowflake | (1.21) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.17 | (4.71) | 27.55 | |
| NOW | ServiceNow | 1.34 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.84 | (3.15) | 8.90 |
Mitek Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mitek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mitek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mitek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mitek Systems Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mitek Systems stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mitek Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mitek Systems based on analysis of Mitek Systems hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mitek Systems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mitek Systems's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004512 | 0.004737 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.55 | 2.89 |
Story Coverage note for Mitek Systems
The number of cover stories for Mitek Systems depends on current market conditions and Mitek Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mitek Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mitek Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mitek Systems Short Properties
Mitek Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when Mitek Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mitek Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mitek Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mitek Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.3 M |
Check out Mitek Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Mitek Stock please use our How to buy in Mitek Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for Mitek Stock analysis
When running Mitek Systems' price analysis, check to measure Mitek Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mitek Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Mitek Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mitek Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mitek Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mitek Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mitek Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mitek Systems. If investors know Mitek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mitek Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 10.323 | Earnings Share (0.06) | Revenue Per Share 3.57 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.19) | Return On Assets 0.0067 |
The market value of Mitek Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mitek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mitek Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mitek Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mitek Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mitek Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mitek Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mitek Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mitek Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.