3M Stock Future Price Prediction

MMM
 Stock
  

USD 112.30  1.98  1.73%   

3M Company stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of 3M shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of 3M's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of 3M and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from 3M's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with 3M Company, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see 3M Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of 3M based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The 3M stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on 3M over a specific investment horizon.Using 3M hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 3M Company from the perspective of 3M response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards 3M using 3M's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards 3M using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of 3M's stock price.

3M Implied Volatility

    
  50.3  
3M's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of 3M Company stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if 3M's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that 3M stock will not fluctuate a lot when 3M's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in 3M. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in 3M to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying 3M because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

3M after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 112.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current 3M contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that 3M Company will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.14% per day over the life of the 2022-09-30 option contract. With 3M trading at $112.3, that is roughly $3.53. If you think that the market is fully incorporating 3M's daily price movement you should consider acquiring 3M Company options at the current volatility level of 50.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of 3M's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of 3M in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
101.07133.85135.86
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
110.97112.99115.00
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
172.00188.54215.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
111.05121.74132.43
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as 3M. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against 3M's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, 3M's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in 3M Company.

3M After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of 3M at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 3M or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of 3M, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

3M Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting 3M's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 3M's historical news coverage. 3M's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 110.25 and 114.27, respectively. We have considered 3M's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 112.30
110.25
Downside
112.26
After-hype Price
114.27
Upside
3M is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 3M Company is based on 3 months time horizon.

3M Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as 3M is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 3M backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 3M, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21  2.02   0.04   0.06  10 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
112.30112.260.04 
961.90  

3M Hype Timeline

On the 30th of September 3M Company is traded for 112.30. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. 3M is expected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 112.26. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.04% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on 3M is about 679.81% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 112.36. About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of 3M was now reported as 23.74. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.77. 3M Company last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2022. The entity had 2:1 split on the 30th of September 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days.
Additionally, see 3M Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

3M Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to 3M's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 3M's future price movements. Getting to know how 3M rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 3M may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

3M Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine 3M price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for 3M using various technical indicators. When you analyze 3M charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About 3M Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of 3M stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as 3M Company, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of 3M based on analysis of 3M hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to 3M's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to 3M's related companies.

Story Coverage note for 3M

The number of cover stories for 3M depends on current market conditions and 3M's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 3M is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 3M's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

3M Short Properties

3M's future price predictability will typically decrease when 3M's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of 3M Company often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential 3M's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 3M's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.36%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate5.89
Short Percent Of Float1.37%
Float Shares569.1M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day6.22M
Shares Short Prior Month9.12M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month9.67M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield5.16%
Additionally, see 3M Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

Complementary Tools for analysis

When running 3M Company price analysis, check to measure 3M's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 3M is operating at the current time. Most of 3M's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 3M's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 3M's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 3M to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is 3M's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 3M. If investors know 3M will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about 3M listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of 3M Company is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of 3M that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of 3M's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is 3M's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because 3M's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect 3M's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 3M's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine 3M value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 3M's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.