Nephros Stock Future Price Prediction

NEPH
 Stock
  

USD 1.50  0.03  1.96%   

Nephros stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Nephros shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Nephros' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nephros and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nephros' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nephros, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Nephros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Nephros based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Nephros stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Nephros over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Current Year
-0.6
EPS Estimate Next Year
-0.4
Wall Street Target Price
7.63
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
-0.11
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.2
Using Nephros hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nephros from the perspective of Nephros response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Nephros. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nephros to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nephros because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nephros after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 1.51  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nephros' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nephros in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.224.4411.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0262141.317.88
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.2513.4216.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.4-0.4-0.4
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nephros. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nephros' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nephros' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nephros.

Nephros After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nephros at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nephros or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Nephros, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Nephros Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nephros' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nephros' historical news coverage. Nephros' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 8.08, respectively. We have considered Nephros' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 1.50
1.51
After-hype Price
8.08
Upside
Nephros is risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nephros is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nephros Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Nephros is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nephros backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nephros, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  1.46  6.57  0.04   0.93  5 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.501.512.72 
21,900  

Nephros Hype Timeline

Nephros is now traded for 1.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.93. Nephros is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 1.51 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 2.72% whereas the daily expected return is now at -1.46%. The volatility of related hype on Nephros is about 1034.65% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.43. The company currently holds 1.12 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.08, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Additionally, see Nephros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nephros Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nephros' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nephros' future price movements. Getting to know how Nephros rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nephros may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Nephros Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nephros price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nephros using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nephros charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nephros Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nephros stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nephros, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nephros based on analysis of Nephros hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nephros's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nephros's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Nephros

The number of cover stories for Nephros depends on current market conditions and Nephros' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nephros is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nephros' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nephros Short Properties

Nephros' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nephros' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nephros often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nephros' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nephros' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.27%
Short Percent Of Float0.44%
Float Shares5.37M
Shares Short Prior Month26.76k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day27.04k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month50.38k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Additionally, see Nephros Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Nephros information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nephros' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Nephros Stock analysis

When running Nephros price analysis, check to measure Nephros' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nephros is operating at the current time. Most of Nephros' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nephros' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nephros' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nephros to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nephros' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nephros. If investors know Nephros will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nephros listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
15.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
-0.2
Return On Assets
-0.2
Return On Equity
-0.37
The market value of Nephros is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nephros that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nephros' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nephros' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nephros' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nephros' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nephros' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nephros value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nephros' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.