Navios Stock Future Price Prediction

NM Stock  USD 1.68  0.05  2.89%   
Navios Maritime Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Navios Maritime shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Navios Maritime's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Navios Maritime and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Navios Maritime's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Navios Maritime Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out Navios Maritime Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Navios Maritime based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Navios stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Navios Maritime over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Wall Street Target Price
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Using Navios Maritime hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Navios Maritime Holdings from the perspective of Navios Maritime response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Navios Maritime using Navios Maritime's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Navios using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Navios Maritime's stock price.
Navios Maritime Free Cash Flow per Share is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Navios Maritime reported last year Free Cash Flow per Share of 4.50. As of 8th of June 2023, Gross Margin is likely to grow to 0.44, while Current Ratio is likely to drop 1.26.

Navios Maritime Implied Volatility

Navios Maritime's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Navios Maritime Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Navios Maritime's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Navios Maritime stock will not fluctuate a lot when Navios Maritime's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Navios Maritime. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Navios Maritime to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Navios because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Navios Maritime after-hype prediction price

  USD 1.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Navios Maritime's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Navios Maritime in the context of predictive analytics.
1 Analysts
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Navios Maritime. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Navios Maritime's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Navios Maritime's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Navios Maritime Holdings.

Navios Maritime After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Navios Maritime at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Navios Maritime or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Navios Maritime, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Navios Maritime Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Navios Maritime's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Navios Maritime's historical news coverage. Navios Maritime's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.08 and 5.67, respectively. We have considered Navios Maritime's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 1.68
After-hype Price
Navios Maritime is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Navios Maritime Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Navios Maritime Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Navios Maritime is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors.are aggressively trading Navios Maritime backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Navios Maritime, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.35  4.03  0.00    0.40  3 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Navios Maritime Hype Timeline

As of June 8, 2023 Navios Maritime Holdings is listed for 1.68. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.4. Navios expected not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis expected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.35%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Navios Maritime is about 351.97%. The volatility of related hype on Navios Maritime is about 351.97% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.28. About 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Navios Maritime Holdings recorded a loss per share of 1.39. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of September 2015. The firm had 1:10 split on the 3rd of January 2019. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Navios Maritime Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Navios Maritime Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Navios Maritime's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Navios Maritime's future price movements. Getting to know how Navios Maritime rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Navios Maritime may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
At Risk
KKellogg Company(0.84) 8 per month 0.81  0.08  1.37 (1.26)  3.32 
NVDANVIDIA(1.76) 3 per month 1.57  0.21  4.97 (2.96)  30.05 
VENGVision Energy Corp 0.00 0 per month 11.18  0.12  23.65 (22.34)  660.46 
PEPPepsiCo 0.34 5 per month 0.69  0.11  1.40 (0.94)  4.98 
MNBEFMinebeaMitsumi 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  8.48 
ITONFIto En 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.13  0.00  0.00  68.66 
AVGOBroadcom(6.90) 4 per month 0.96  0.18  3.11 (1.68)  13.75 
HCNWFHypercharge Networks Corp 0.00 0 per month 10.30  0.14  45.45 (18.80)  112.62 

Navios Maritime Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Navios price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Navios using various technical indicators. When you analyze Navios charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Navios Maritime Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Navios Maritime stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Navios Maritime Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Navios Maritime based on analysis of Navios Maritime hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Navios Maritime's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Navios Maritime's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Navios Maritime

The number of cover stories for Navios Maritime depends on current market conditions and Navios Maritime's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Navios Maritime is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Navios Maritime's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Navios Maritime Short Properties

Navios Maritime's future price predictability will typically decrease when Navios Maritime's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Navios Maritime Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Navios Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Navios Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments78.5 M
Check out Navios Maritime Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Complementary Tools for Navios Stock analysis

When running Navios Maritime's price analysis, check to measure Navios Maritime's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Navios Maritime is operating at the current time. Most of Navios Maritime's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Navios Maritime's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Navios Maritime's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Navios Maritime to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
Alpha Finder
Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Portfolio Rebalancing
Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Bond Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Share Portfolio
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Is Navios Maritime's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Navios Maritime. If investors know Navios will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Navios Maritime listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Return On Assets
The market value of Navios Maritime Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Navios that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Navios Maritime's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Navios Maritime's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Navios Maritime's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Navios Maritime's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Navios Maritime's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Navios Maritime is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Navios Maritime's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.