Nvidia Stock Future Price Prediction

NVDA
 Stock
  

USD 155.42  4.40  2.75%   

Nvidia Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Nvidia Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Nvidia Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nvidia Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nvidia Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nvidia Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, see Nvidia Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Nvidia Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Nvidia stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Nvidia Corp over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.16
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.36
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.34
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.18
Wall Street Target Price
261.91
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.29
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.46
Using Nvidia Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nvidia Corp from the perspective of Nvidia Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nvidia Corp using Nvidia Corp's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nvidia using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nvidia Corp's stock price.
The current year Book Value per Share is expected to grow to 33.97. The current year Dividend Yield is expected to grow to 0.000924

Nvidia Corp Implied Volatility

    
  68.65  
Nvidia Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nvidia Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nvidia Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nvidia Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nvidia Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Nvidia Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nvidia Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nvidia because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nvidia Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 160.59  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nvidia Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Nvidia Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
143.84192.12196.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
153.47157.85162.22
Details
26 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
187.50305.02400.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (10)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.553.623.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nvidia Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nvidia Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nvidia Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Nvidia Corp.

Nvidia Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nvidia Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nvidia Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Nvidia Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Nvidia Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nvidia Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nvidia Corp's historical news coverage. Nvidia Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 156.21 and 164.97, respectively. We have considered Nvidia Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 155.42
156.21
Downside
160.59
After-hype Price
164.97
Upside
Nvidia Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nvidia Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nvidia Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Nvidia Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nvidia Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nvidia Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.77  4.34  0.76    0.35  8 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
155.42160.590.48 
438.38  

Nvidia Corp Hype Timeline

Nvidia Corp is now traded for 155.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.76 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.35. Nvidia is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 160.59 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 0.48% whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.77%. The volatility of related hype on Nvidia Corp is about 964.44% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 155.07. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 26.91 B. Net Income was 9.75 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 17.48 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Additionally, see Nvidia Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nvidia Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nvidia Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nvidia Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Nvidia Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nvidia Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NXPINxp Semiconductors 2.88 10 per month 0.00 (0.0414)  4.33 (4.25)  11.18 
MSFTMicrosoft Corp(7.50) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0272)  2.97 (4.24)  9.36 
DDDupont Denemours(0.89) 2 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.00 (3.87)  9.53 
GEGeneral Electric 0.57 10 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.88 (4.93)  13.22 
INTCIntel Corp(0.19) 8 per month 0.00 (0.12)  3.14 (3.64)  10.50 
AXPAmerican Express(1.59) 7 per month 0.00 (0.1)  3.46 (3.99)  9.75 
TATT Inc 0.18 9 per month 1.37  0.24  2.99 (2.47)  12.23 
WMTWalmart 0.34 7 per month 0.00 (0.0194)  2.43 (2.47)  13.98 
JNJJohnson Johnson 2.15 9 per month 1.06  0.16  2.23 (1.86)  5.06 

Nvidia Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nvidia price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nvidia using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nvidia charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nvidia Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nvidia Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nvidia Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nvidia Corp based on analysis of Nvidia Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nvidia Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nvidia Corp's related companies.
 2010 2015 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.320.160.4
Interest Coverage42.07483.544.31

Story Coverage note for Nvidia Corp

The number of cover stories for Nvidia Corp depends on current market conditions and Nvidia Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nvidia Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nvidia Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nvidia Corp Short Properties

Nvidia Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nvidia Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nvidia Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nvidia Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nvidia Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.09%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.16
Short Percent Of Float0.97%
Float Shares2.41B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day49.57M
Shares Short Prior Month26.95M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month57.85M
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.10%
Additionally, see Nvidia Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Nvidia Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nvidia Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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When running Nvidia Corp price analysis, check to measure Nvidia Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nvidia Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Nvidia Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nvidia Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nvidia Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nvidia Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nvidia Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nvidia Corp. If investors know Nvidia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nvidia Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.16
Market Capitalization
420.4 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.46
Return On Assets
0.19
Return On Equity
0.42
The market value of Nvidia Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nvidia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nvidia Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nvidia Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nvidia Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nvidia Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nvidia Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Nvidia Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nvidia Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.