O2Micro Stock Future Price Prediction

OIIM Stock  USD 4.67  0.02  0.43%   
O2Micro International stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of O2Micro International shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of O2Micro International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of O2Micro International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from O2Micro International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with O2Micro International Limited, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check O2Micro International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of O2Micro International based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The O2Micro stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on O2Micro International over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.04) 
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.02) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.03
Wall Street Target Price
17
Using O2Micro International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of O2Micro International Limited from the perspective of O2Micro International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in O2Micro International. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in O2Micro International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying O2Micro because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

O2Micro International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.68  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of O2Micro International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of O2Micro International in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
4.207.968.95
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
3.754.745.73
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0016.9523.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.624.674.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as O2Micro International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against O2Micro International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, O2Micro International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in O2Micro International.

O2Micro International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of O2Micro International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in O2Micro International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of O2Micro International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

O2Micro International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting O2Micro International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on O2Micro International's historical news coverage. O2Micro International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.69 and 5.67, respectively. We have considered O2Micro International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 4.67
4.68
After-hype Price
5.67
Upside
O2Micro International is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of O2Micro International is based on 3 months time horizon.

O2Micro International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as O2Micro International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading O2Micro International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with O2Micro International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.18  0.99  0.01   0.00  7 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.674.680.21 
2,475  

O2Micro International Hype Timeline

O2Micro International is now traded for 4.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. O2Micro is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 4.68 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price surge on the next news is forecasted to be 0.21% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on O2Micro International is about 5775.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 4.67. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 101.1 M. Net Income was 12.11 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 52.89 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Please check O2Micro International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

O2Micro International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to O2Micro International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict O2Micro International's future price movements. Getting to know how O2Micro International rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how O2Micro International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

O2Micro International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine O2Micro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for O2Micro using various technical indicators. When you analyze O2Micro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About O2Micro International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of O2Micro International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as O2Micro International Limited, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of O2Micro International based on analysis of O2Micro International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to O2Micro International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to O2Micro International's related companies.

Story Coverage note for O2Micro International

The number of cover stories for O2Micro International depends on current market conditions and O2Micro International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that O2Micro International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about O2Micro International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

O2Micro International Short Properties

O2Micro International's future price predictability will typically decrease when O2Micro International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of O2Micro International Limited often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential O2Micro International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. O2Micro International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27 M
Cash And Short Term Investments50 M
Please check O2Micro International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

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When running O2Micro International price analysis, check to measure O2Micro International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy O2Micro International is operating at the current time. Most of O2Micro International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of O2Micro International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move O2Micro International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of O2Micro International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is O2Micro International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of O2Micro International. If investors know O2Micro will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about O2Micro International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82) 
Market Capitalization
137.2 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.33) 
Return On Assets
0.0123
Return On Equity
0.0307
The market value of O2Micro International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of O2Micro that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of O2Micro International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is O2Micro International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because O2Micro International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect O2Micro International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between O2Micro International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine O2Micro International value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, O2Micro International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.