Oxford Stock Future Price Prediction

OXM -  USA Stock  

USD 99.35  0.45  0.45%

Oxford Industries stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Oxford Industries shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Oxford Industries stock future price could yield a significant profit.
We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oxford Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Please check Oxford Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Oxford Industries based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Oxford stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Oxford Industries over a specific investment horizon. Using Oxford Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oxford Industries from the perspective of Oxford Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to hike to 0.48 this year. Debt to Equity Ratio is expected to hike to 0.50 this year
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Oxford Industries. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Oxford Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Oxford because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Oxford Industries after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 98.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oxford Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Oxford Industries in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
89.42103.01105.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
91.9394.6997.46
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
112.00123.40135.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.055.105.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Oxford Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Oxford Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Oxford Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Oxford Industries.

Oxford Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Oxford Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oxford Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Oxford Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Oxford Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Oxford Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oxford Industries' historical news coverage. Oxford Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 95.30 and 100.82, respectively. We have considered Oxford Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
99.35
24th of June 2021
98.06
After-hype Price
100.82
Upside
Oxford Industries is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oxford Industries is based on 2 months time horizon.

Oxford Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Oxford Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oxford Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oxford Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.26  2.76  1.29   0.13  4 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
99.3598.061.30 
55.76  

Oxford Industries Hype Timeline

On the 24th of June Oxford Industries is traded for 99.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.29 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Oxford is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 98.06. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 55.76%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -1.3% whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Oxford Industries is about 536.96% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 99.22. About 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Oxford Industries was now reported as 25.79. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.83. Oxford Industries recorded a loss per share of 0.03. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 15th of April 2021. The firm had 2:1 split on the 2nd of December 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 4 days.
Please check Oxford Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Oxford Industries Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Oxford Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oxford Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Oxford Industries rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oxford Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Hennes Mauritz B 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.15)  0.00 (0.69)  5.66 
Hennes Mauritz Ab 0.07 5 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.01 (3.18)  8.15 
VF Corp 0.82 8 per month 0.00 (0.05)  2.30 (2.08)  11.41 
Moncler SPA 0.00 2 per month 0.69  0.16  2.32 (1.75)  9.49 
Under Armour(0.42) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0174)  3.43 (3.57)  11.94 
Ralph Lauren Corp(2.50) 10 per month 0.00 (0.016)  2.73 (4.13)  11.21 
Capri Holdings 0.01 9 per month 2.49  0.0493  4.23 (3.13)  9.97 
Phillips-Van Heusen Corp(0.27) 9 per month 2.19  0.0326  3.73 (3.44)  9.43 
Gildan Activewear(0.94) 9 per month 1.26  0.14  3.32 (2.17)  6.07 
Columbia Sprtswr(1.91) 9 per month 0.00 (0.17)  2.03 (1.70)  5.47 

Oxford Industries Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Oxford price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oxford using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oxford charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Oxford Industries Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Oxford Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Oxford Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oxford Industries based on analysis of Oxford Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Oxford Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Oxford Industries's related companies.
 2014 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.02720.410.48
Interest Coverage75.2424.022.92

Story Coverage note for Oxford Industries

The number of cover stories for Oxford Industries depends on current market conditions and Oxford Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oxford Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oxford Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Oxford Industries Short Properties

Oxford Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Oxford Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oxford Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oxford Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oxford Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date15th of April 2021
Shares Percent Shares Out2.60%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.12
Short Percent Of Float3.37%
Float Shares15.63M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day127.2k
Shares Short Prior Month485.18k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month99.21k
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Please check Oxford Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Oxford Industries information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oxford Industries' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Stock Screener module to find equities using custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..

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When running Oxford Industries price analysis, check to measure Oxford Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oxford Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Oxford Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oxford Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oxford Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oxford Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Oxford Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oxford that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oxford Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oxford Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oxford Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oxford Industries underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oxford Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Oxford Industries value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oxford Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.