Par Technology Stock Future Price Prediction

PAR -  USA Stock  

USD 61.05  1.71  2.72%

Par Technology Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Par Technology shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Par Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Par Technology and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Par Technology's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Par Technology Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please check Par Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Par Technology based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Par Technology stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Par Technology over a specific investment horizon. Using Par Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Par Technology Corp from the perspective of Par Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Par Technology. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Par Technology to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Par Technology because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Par Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 61.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Par Technology's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Par Technology in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
38.6141.8467.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
58.3661.5964.81
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
27.0032.4036.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.55-1.1-0.65
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Par Technology. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Par Technology's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Par Technology's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Par Technology Corp.

Par Technology After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Par Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Par Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Par Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Par Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Par Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Par Technology's historical news coverage. Par Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 58.44 and 64.90, respectively. We have considered Par Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
61.05
30th of July 2021
61.67
After-hype Price
64.90
Upside
Par Technology is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Par Technology Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Par Technology Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Par Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Par Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Par Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.42  3.23  0.62   0.69  6 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
61.0561.671.02 
218.24  

Par Technology Hype Timeline

On the 30th of July Par Technology Corp is traded for 61.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.62 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.69. Par Technology is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 61.67 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 1.02% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Par Technology is about 196.15% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 61.74. The company reported the last year's revenue of 213.52 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (33.92 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 39.33 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Please check Par Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Par Technology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Par Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Par Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Par Technology rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Par Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Salesforce(0.52) 8 per month 1.18 (0.0066)  2.74 (2.00)  7.43 
SAP Ag ADR(2.21) 2 per month 1.43 (0.017)  2.24 (2.26)  7.86 
SAP Ag Systeme 3.32 5 per month 2.06 (0.0202)  2.96 (3.04)  9.31 
Intuit Inc 5.78 9 per month 0.76  0.28  1.96 (1.40)  5.82 
Servicenow 1.42 8 per month 2.26  0.0249  3.11 (3.17)  9.37 
Atlassian Cls A 5.20 2 per month 1.51  0.15  4.14 (3.19)  9.24 
Autodesk 2.61 9 per month 1.49  0.0437  2.62 (2.07)  5.82 
DASSAULT SYSTEMES 0.00 0 per month 2.32  0.08  5.62 (4.00)  13.10 
Docusign(0.78) 8 per month 1.96  0.11  3.84 (3.84)  22.67 

Par Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Par Technology price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Par Technology using various technical indicators. When you analyze Par Technology charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Par Technology Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Par Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Par Technology Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Par Technology based on analysis of Par Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Par Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Par Technology's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Par Technology

The number of cover stories for Par Technology depends on current market conditions and Par Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Par Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Par Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Latest Perspective on Par Technology

Par Technology Short Properties

Par Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Par Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Par Technology Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Par Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Par Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out12.62%
Short Percent Of Float13.37%
Float Shares21.31M
Shares Short Prior Month3.28M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day156.23k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month272.68k
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Please check Par Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Par Technology Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Par Technology's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running Par Technology Corp price analysis, check to measure Par Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Par Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Par Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Par Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Par Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Par Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Par Technology Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Par Technology that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Par Technology's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Par Technology's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Par Technology's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Par Technology Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Par Technology's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Par Technology value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Par Technology's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.