Pendragon Plc Stock Price Prediction

PDGNF Stock  USD 0.50  0.00  0.00%   
As of 18th of April 2024 the relative strength index (rsi) of Pendragon PLC's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

0

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Pendragon PLC stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Pendragon PLC shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Pendragon PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pendragon PLC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pendragon PLC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pendragon PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Pendragon PLC based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Pendragon stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Pendragon PLC over a specific investment horizon. Using Pendragon PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pendragon PLC from the perspective of Pendragon PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Pendragon PLC. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pendragon PLC to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pendragon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Pendragon PLC after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Pendragon PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pendragon PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.412.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.522.24
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.500.500.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pendragon PLC. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pendragon PLC's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pendragon PLC's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pendragon PLC.

Pendragon PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pendragon PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pendragon PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Pendragon PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pendragon PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pendragon PLC's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pendragon PLC's historical news coverage. Pendragon PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 2.22, respectively. We have considered Pendragon PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.50
0.50
After-hype Price
2.22
Upside
Pendragon PLC is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pendragon PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pendragon PLC Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pendragon PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pendragon PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pendragon PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.72
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.50
0.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Pendragon PLC Hype Timeline

Pendragon PLC is at this time traded for 0.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pendragon is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pendragon PLC is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.50. About 31.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.84. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pendragon PLC last dividend was issued on the 18th of April 2019. The entity had 5:1 split on the 27th of December 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Pendragon PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Pendragon PLC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pendragon PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pendragon PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Pendragon PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pendragon PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Pendragon PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pendragon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pendragon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pendragon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Pendragon PLC Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Pendragon PLC stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pendragon PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pendragon PLC based on analysis of Pendragon PLC hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pendragon PLC's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pendragon PLC's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Pendragon PLC

The number of cover stories for Pendragon PLC depends on current market conditions and Pendragon PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pendragon PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pendragon PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Pendragon PLC Short Properties

Pendragon PLC's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pendragon PLC's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pendragon PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pendragon PLC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pendragon PLC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.4 B
Check out Pendragon PLC Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

Complementary Tools for Pendragon Pink Sheet analysis

When running Pendragon PLC's price analysis, check to measure Pendragon PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pendragon PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Pendragon PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pendragon PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pendragon PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pendragon PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Premium Stories
Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope
Portfolio Backtesting
Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Commodity Channel
Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum
Idea Breakdown
Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pendragon PLC's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pendragon PLC is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pendragon PLC's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.