Preferred Bank Stock Price Prediction

PFBC Stock  USD 76.89  0.05  0.07%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Preferred Bank's share price is approaching 49 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Preferred Bank, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Preferred Bank stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Preferred Bank shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Preferred Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Preferred Bank and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Preferred Bank's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Preferred Bank, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Preferred Bank's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.31
EPS Estimate Current Year
9.39
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.78
Wall Street Target Price
82.5
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Preferred Bank based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Preferred stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Preferred Bank over a specific investment horizon. Using Preferred Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Preferred Bank from the perspective of Preferred Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Preferred Bank using Preferred Bank's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Preferred using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Preferred Bank's stock price.

Preferred Bank Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Preferred Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Preferred Bank stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Preferred Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Preferred Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when Preferred Bank's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Preferred Bank. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Preferred Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Preferred because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Preferred Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 76.94  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Preferred contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Preferred Bank will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Preferred Bank trading at USD 76.89, that is roughly USD 0.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Preferred Bank's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Preferred Bank options at the current volatility level of 0.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Preferred Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Preferred Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Preferred Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
72.9874.5884.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
74.1375.7377.33
Details
5 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
65.0771.5079.37
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.272.412.52
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Preferred Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Preferred Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Preferred Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Preferred Bank.

Preferred Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Preferred Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Preferred Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Preferred Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Preferred Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Preferred Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Preferred Bank's historical news coverage. Preferred Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.34 and 78.54, respectively. We have considered Preferred Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
76.89
76.94
After-hype Price
78.54
Upside
Preferred Bank is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Preferred Bank is based on 3 months time horizon.

Preferred Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Preferred Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Preferred Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Preferred Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.60
  0.04 
  0.03 
8 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
76.89
76.94
0.00 
533.33  
Notes

Preferred Bank Hype Timeline

Preferred Bank is at this time traded for 76.89. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Preferred is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Preferred Bank is about 610.69%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 76.92. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.5. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Preferred Bank has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.83. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.62. The firm last dividend was issued on the 4th of April 2024. Preferred Bank had 1:5 split on the 20th of June 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Preferred Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Preferred Stock guide.

Preferred Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Preferred Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Preferred Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Preferred Bank's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Preferred Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Preferred Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Preferred price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Preferred using various technical indicators. When you analyze Preferred charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Preferred Bank Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Preferred Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Preferred Bank, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Preferred Bank based on analysis of Preferred Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Preferred Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Preferred Bank's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02010.02310.03020.0255
Price To Sales Ratio5.514.282.143.3

Story Coverage note for Preferred Bank

The number of cover stories for Preferred Bank depends on current market conditions and Preferred Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Preferred Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Preferred Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Preferred Bank Short Properties

Preferred Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Preferred Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Preferred Bank often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Preferred Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Preferred Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments910.9 M
When determining whether Preferred Bank offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Preferred Bank's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Preferred Bank Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Preferred Bank Stock:
Check out Preferred Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Preferred Stock refer to our How to Trade Preferred Stock guide.
Note that the Preferred Bank information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Preferred Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Preferred Stock analysis

When running Preferred Bank's price analysis, check to measure Preferred Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Preferred Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Preferred Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Preferred Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Preferred Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Preferred Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
AI Portfolio Architect
Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Volatility Analysis
Get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data
Technical Analysis
Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Is Preferred Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Preferred Bank. If investors know Preferred will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Preferred Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.04)
Dividend Share
2.35
Earnings Share
10.62
Revenue Per Share
20.324
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.014
The market value of Preferred Bank is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Preferred that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Preferred Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Preferred Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Preferred Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Preferred Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Preferred Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Preferred Bank is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Preferred Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.