Park Electrochemical Stock Price Prediction

PKE Stock  USD 14.78  0.12  0.81%   
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of Park Electrochemical's share price is at 58 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Park Electrochemical, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

58

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Park Electrochemical stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Park Electrochemical shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Park Electrochemical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Park Electrochemical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Park Electrochemical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Park Electrochemical, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Park Electrochemical's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
Wall Street Target Price
26
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Park Electrochemical based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Park stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Park Electrochemical over a specific investment horizon. Using Park Electrochemical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Park Electrochemical from the perspective of Park Electrochemical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Park Electrochemical using Park Electrochemical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Park using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Park Electrochemical's stock price.

Park Electrochemical Implied Volatility

    
  220.9  
Park Electrochemical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Park Electrochemical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Park Electrochemical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Park Electrochemical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Park Electrochemical's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Park Electrochemical. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Park Electrochemical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Park because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Park Electrochemical after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.79  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Park Electrochemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Park Stock refer to our How to Trade Park Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Park Electrochemical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.3017.6519.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
12.3714.1515.92
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
23.6626.0028.86
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.130.130.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Park Electrochemical. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Park Electrochemical's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Park Electrochemical's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Park Electrochemical.

Park Electrochemical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Park Electrochemical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Park Electrochemical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Park Electrochemical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Park Electrochemical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Park Electrochemical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Park Electrochemical's historical news coverage. Park Electrochemical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.01 and 16.57, respectively. We have considered Park Electrochemical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.78
14.79
After-hype Price
16.57
Upside
Park Electrochemical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Park Electrochemical is based on 3 months time horizon.

Park Electrochemical Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Park Electrochemical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Park Electrochemical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Park Electrochemical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.78
  0.01 
 0.00  
5 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.78
14.79
0.07 
613.79  
Notes

Park Electrochemical Hype Timeline

On the 19th of April Park Electrochemical is traded for 14.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Park is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 14.79 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. The volatility of related hype on Park Electrochemical is about 17800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.78. The company reported the last year's revenue of 54.05 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 10.73 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 17.92 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Check out Park Electrochemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Park Stock refer to our How to Trade Park Stock guide.

Park Electrochemical Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Park Electrochemical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Park Electrochemical's future price movements. Getting to know how Park Electrochemical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Park Electrochemical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Park Electrochemical Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Park price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Park using various technical indicators. When you analyze Park charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Park Electrochemical Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Park Electrochemical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Park Electrochemical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Park Electrochemical based on analysis of Park Electrochemical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Park Electrochemical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Park Electrochemical's related companies.
 2015 2020 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.09860.02460.0090530.0086
Price To Sales Ratio4.866.152.71.79

Story Coverage note for Park Electrochemical

The number of cover stories for Park Electrochemical depends on current market conditions and Park Electrochemical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Park Electrochemical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Park Electrochemical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Park Electrochemical Short Properties

Park Electrochemical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Park Electrochemical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Park Electrochemical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Park Electrochemical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Park Electrochemical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments105.4 M
When determining whether Park Electrochemical is a strong investment it is important to analyze Park Electrochemical's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Park Electrochemical's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Park Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Park Electrochemical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Park Stock refer to our How to Trade Park Stock guide.
You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

Complementary Tools for Park Stock analysis

When running Park Electrochemical's price analysis, check to measure Park Electrochemical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Park Electrochemical is operating at the current time. Most of Park Electrochemical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Park Electrochemical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Park Electrochemical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Park Electrochemical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Park Electrochemical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Park Electrochemical. If investors know Park will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Park Electrochemical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.46)
Dividend Share
0.475
Earnings Share
0.47
Revenue Per Share
2.613
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
The market value of Park Electrochemical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Park that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Park Electrochemical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Park Electrochemical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Park Electrochemical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Park Electrochemical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Park Electrochemical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Park Electrochemical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Park Electrochemical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.