Piedmont Lithium Ltd Stock Price Prediction
| PLL Stock | USD 11.61 0.83 6.67% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Piedmont Lithium stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Piedmont Lithium shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Piedmont Lithium's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Piedmont Lithium and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Piedmont Lithium's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Piedmont Lithium Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Piedmont Lithium's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.293 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.08) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.26) | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.38 | Wall Street Target Price 43 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Piedmont Lithium based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Piedmont stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Piedmont Lithium over a specific investment horizon. Using Piedmont Lithium hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Piedmont Lithium Ltd from the perspective of Piedmont Lithium response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Piedmont Lithium using Piedmont Lithium's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Piedmont using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Piedmont Lithium's stock price.
Piedmont Lithium Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Piedmont Lithium's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Piedmont. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Piedmont Lithium stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Piedmont Lithium may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Piedmont Lithium and may potentially protect profits, hedge Piedmont Lithium with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 30.3187 | Short Percent 0.1351 | Short Ratio 3.94 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.2 M | 50 Day MA 13.448 |
Piedmont Lithium Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Piedmont Lithium's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Piedmont. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Piedmont can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Piedmont Lithium Ltd. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Piedmont Lithium's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Piedmont Lithium.
Piedmont Lithium Implied Volatility | 182.84 |
Piedmont Lithium's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Piedmont Lithium Ltd stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Piedmont Lithium's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Piedmont Lithium stock will not fluctuate a lot when Piedmont Lithium's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Piedmont Lithium. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Piedmont Lithium to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Piedmont because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Piedmont Lithium after-hype prediction price | USD 12.45 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Piedmont contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Piedmont Lithium Ltd will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 11.43% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Piedmont Lithium trading at USD 11.61, that is roughly USD 1.33 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Piedmont Lithium's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Piedmont Lithium Ltd options at the current volatility level of 182.84%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Piedmont |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Piedmont Lithium's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Piedmont Lithium After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Piedmont Lithium at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Piedmont Lithium or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Piedmont Lithium, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Piedmont Lithium Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Piedmont Lithium's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Piedmont Lithium's historical news coverage. Piedmont Lithium's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.93 and 17.97, respectively. We have considered Piedmont Lithium's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Piedmont Lithium is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Piedmont Lithium is based on 3 months time horizon.
Piedmont Lithium Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Piedmont Lithium is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Piedmont Lithium backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Piedmont Lithium, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 5.52 | 0.01 | 0.05 | 12 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.61 | 12.45 | 0.08 |
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Piedmont Lithium Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April Piedmont Lithium is traded for 11.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Piedmont is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.45 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Piedmont Lithium is about 4879.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.56. The company reported the last year's revenue of 39.82 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (21.78 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Piedmont Lithium Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Piedmont Lithium Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Piedmont Lithium's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Piedmont Lithium's future price movements. Getting to know how Piedmont Lithium's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Piedmont Lithium may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Piedmont Lithium Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Piedmont price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Piedmont using various technical indicators. When you analyze Piedmont charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Piedmont Lithium Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Piedmont Lithium stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Piedmont Lithium Ltd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Piedmont Lithium based on analysis of Piedmont Lithium hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Piedmont Lithium's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Piedmont Lithium's related companies. | 2010 | 2011 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.004412 | 6.92E-4 | 6.23E-4 | 5.92E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 200.21 | 13.1K | 11.8K | 12.4K |
Story Coverage note for Piedmont Lithium
The number of cover stories for Piedmont Lithium depends on current market conditions and Piedmont Lithium's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Piedmont Lithium is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Piedmont Lithium's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Piedmont Lithium Short Properties
Piedmont Lithium's future price predictability will typically decrease when Piedmont Lithium's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Piedmont Lithium Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Piedmont Lithium's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Piedmont Lithium's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.3 M |
Check out Piedmont Lithium Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Piedmont Stock analysis
When running Piedmont Lithium's price analysis, check to measure Piedmont Lithium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Piedmont Lithium is operating at the current time. Most of Piedmont Lithium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Piedmont Lithium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Piedmont Lithium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Piedmont Lithium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Portfolio Holdings Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities |
Is Piedmont Lithium's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Piedmont Lithium. If investors know Piedmont will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Piedmont Lithium listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.293 | Earnings Share (1.14) | Revenue Per Share 0.021 | Return On Assets (0.07) | Return On Equity (0.07) |
The market value of Piedmont Lithium is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Piedmont that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Piedmont Lithium's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Piedmont Lithium's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Piedmont Lithium's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Piedmont Lithium's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Piedmont Lithium's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Piedmont Lithium is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Piedmont Lithium's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.