Pnm Resources Stock Price Prediction
| PNM Stock | USD 36.63 0.34 0.94% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
PNM Resources stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of PNM Resources shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of PNM Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of PNM Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from PNM Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PNM Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting PNM Resources' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.57 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.69 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.81 | Wall Street Target Price 43.43 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of PNM Resources based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The PNM stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on PNM Resources over a specific investment horizon. Using PNM Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of PNM Resources from the perspective of PNM Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards PNM Resources using PNM Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards PNM using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of PNM Resources' stock price.
PNM Resources Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in PNM Resources' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards PNM. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of PNM Resources stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long PNM Resources may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about PNM Resources and may potentially protect profits, hedge PNM Resources with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 41.1219 | Short Percent 0.025 | Short Ratio 1.81 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 37.0874 |
PNM Resources Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to PNM Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in PNM. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding PNM can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around PNM Resources. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of PNM Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about PNM Resources.
PNM Resources Implied Volatility | 34.71 |
PNM Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of PNM Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if PNM Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that PNM Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when PNM Resources' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in PNM Resources. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in PNM Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying PNM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
PNM Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 36.29 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
PNM |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PNM Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PNM Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of PNM Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in PNM Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of PNM Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
PNM Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting PNM Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on PNM Resources' historical news coverage. PNM Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.96 and 37.62, respectively. We have considered PNM Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
PNM Resources is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PNM Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.
PNM Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as PNM Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading PNM Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with PNM Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.63 | 36.29 | 0.00 |
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PNM Resources Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April PNM Resources is traded for 36.63. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PNM is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on PNM Resources is about 1964.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.63. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.39. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PNM Resources last dividend was issued on the 25th of April 2024. The entity had 3:2 split on the 14th of June 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out PNM Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.PNM Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to PNM Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict PNM Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how PNM Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how PNM Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| POR | Portland General Electric | (0.71) | 13 per month | 1.31 | 0.03 | 1.93 | (2.01) | 6.45 | |
| MGEE | MGE Energy | (0.33) | 9 per month | 1.43 | 0.05 | 2.40 | (2.62) | 23.07 | |
| CMS | CMS Energy | (0.06) | 11 per month | 1.00 | 0.01 | 1.83 | (1.86) | 4.99 | |
| OGE | OGE Energy | (0.43) | 10 per month | 1.09 | (0.03) | 2.01 | (1.85) | 6.27 | |
| LNT | Alliant Energy Corp | 0.31 | 11 per month | 1.20 | (0.03) | 2.01 | (2.09) | 5.75 | |
| ETR | Entergy | 1.61 | 10 per month | 0.73 | 0.04 | 2.23 | (1.37) | 4.72 | |
| EVRG | Evergy Common Stock | 0.25 | 9 per month | 1.06 | (0.01) | 1.75 | (2.02) | 5.89 | |
| IDA | IDACORP | (0.23) | 7 per month | 1.26 | (0.04) | 2.10 | (1.57) | 5.05 | |
| PNW | Pinnacle West Capital | (0.03) | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.03 | 2.14 | (2.05) | 6.08 | |
| DTE | DTE Energy | 0.33 | 11 per month | 1.28 | 0 | 1.96 | (2.08) | 6.83 | |
| AEE | Ameren Corp | 0.56 | 11 per month | 0.87 | 0.02 | 1.93 | (1.73) | 5.38 | |
| CNP | CenterPoint Energy | (0.33) | 12 per month | 0.96 | (0.02) | 1.82 | (1.49) | 7.11 | |
| EBR | Centrais Electricas Brasileiras | (0.06) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.65 | (3.73) | 10.82 |
PNM Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine PNM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for PNM using various technical indicators. When you analyze PNM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About PNM Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of PNM Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as PNM Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of PNM Resources based on analysis of PNM Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to PNM Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to PNM Resources's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0288 | 0.0285 | 0.0353 | 0.0376 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.21 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 0.93 |
Story Coverage note for PNM Resources
The number of cover stories for PNM Resources depends on current market conditions and PNM Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that PNM Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about PNM Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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PNM Resources Short Properties
PNM Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when PNM Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of PNM Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential PNM Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PNM Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 86.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 M |
Check out PNM Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in PNM Stock, please use our How to Invest in PNM Resources guide.You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Complementary Tools for PNM Stock analysis
When running PNM Resources' price analysis, check to measure PNM Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PNM Resources is operating at the current time. Most of PNM Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PNM Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PNM Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PNM Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is PNM Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of PNM Resources. If investors know PNM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about PNM Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Dividend Share 1.49 | Earnings Share 1.02 | Revenue Per Share 22.471 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.28) |
The market value of PNM Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of PNM that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of PNM Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is PNM Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because PNM Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect PNM Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between PNM Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if PNM Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, PNM Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.