Renren Inc Price Prediction
| RENNDelisted Stock | USD 1.17 0.03 2.50% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Renren Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Renren shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Renren's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Renren and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Renren's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Renren Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether delisted stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Renren based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Renren stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Renren over a specific investment horizon. Using Renren hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Renren Inc from the perspective of Renren response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Renren. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Renren to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Renren because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Renren after-hype prediction price | USD 1.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Renren |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Renren's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Renren After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Renren at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Renren or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Renren, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Renren Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Renren's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Renren's historical news coverage. Renren's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.17 and 1.17, respectively. We have considered Renren's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Renren is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Renren Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Renren Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Renren is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Renren backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Renren, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.17 | 1.17 | 0.00 |
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Renren Hype Timeline
Renren Inc is at this time traded for 1.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Renren is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Renren is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.17. About 36.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 3.04. Renren Inc last dividend was issued on the 22nd of December 2022. The entity had 1:3 split on the 9th of January 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.Renren Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Renren's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Renren's future price movements. Getting to know how Renren's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Renren may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Renren Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Renren price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Renren using various technical indicators. When you analyze Renren charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Renren Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Renren stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Renren Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Renren based on analysis of Renren hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Renren's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Renren's related companies. Story Coverage note for Renren
The number of cover stories for Renren depends on current market conditions and Renren's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Renren is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Renren's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Renren Short Properties
Renren's future price predictability will typically decrease when Renren's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Renren Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Renren's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Renren's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 25.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52 M |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Other Consideration for investing in Renren Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Renren Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Renren's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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