Revlon Stock Future Price Prediction

REV -  USA Stock  

USD 10.94  0.04  0.37%

Revlon Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Revlon shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Revlon's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Revlon and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Revlon's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Revlon Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Revlon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Revlon based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Revlon stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Revlon over a specific investment horizon. Using Revlon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Revlon Inc from the perspective of Revlon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Revlon Asset Turnover is fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Revlon reported Asset Turnover of 0.69 in 2020. Current Ratio is likely to climb to 1.46 in 2021, whereas Cash and Equivalents Turnover is likely to drop 16.55 in 2021.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Revlon. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Revlon to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Revlon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Revlon after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 10.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Revlon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Revlon in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.8610.5814.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.4810.2013.92
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
11.0011.0011.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-3.47-3.47-3.47
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Revlon. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Revlon's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Revlon's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Revlon Inc.

Revlon After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Revlon at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Revlon or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Revlon, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Revlon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Revlon's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Revlon's historical news coverage. Revlon's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.14 and 14.58, respectively. We have considered Revlon's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.94
2nd of August 2021
10.86
After-hype Price
14.58
Upside
Revlon is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Revlon Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Revlon Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Revlon is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Revlon backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Revlon, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.76  2.46  0.40   0.51  3 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.9410.860.37 
464.15  

Revlon Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of August Revlon Inc is traded for 10.94. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.4 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.51. Revlon is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 10.86. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.37% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.76%. The volatility of related hype on Revlon is about 366.25% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 11.45. About 87.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 9.36. Revlon Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 16th of September 2008. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 3 days.
Additionally, take a look at Revlon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Revlon Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Revlon's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Revlon's future price movements. Getting to know how Revlon rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Revlon may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Revlon Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Revlon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Revlon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Revlon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Revlon Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Revlon stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Revlon Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Revlon based on analysis of Revlon hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Revlon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Revlon's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Receivables Turnover5.855.664.9
PPandE Turnover7.056.344.99

Story Coverage note for Revlon

The number of cover stories for Revlon depends on current market conditions and Revlon's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Revlon is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Revlon's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Revlon Short Properties

Revlon's future price predictability will typically decrease when Revlon's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Revlon Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Revlon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Revlon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.85%
Short Percent Of Float21.74%
Float Shares7.01M
Shares Short Prior Month1.86M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day122.2k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month184.03k
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Additionally, take a look at Revlon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Revlon Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Revlon's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.

Complementary Tools for Revlon Stock analysis

When running Revlon Inc price analysis, check to measure Revlon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Revlon is operating at the current time. Most of Revlon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Revlon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Revlon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Revlon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Revlon Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Revlon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Revlon's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Revlon's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Revlon's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Revlon Inc underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Revlon's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Revlon value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Revlon's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.