Revolve Group Llc Stock Price Prediction
| RVLV Stock | USD 19.12 0.06 0.31% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Revolve Group LLC stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Revolve Group shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Revolve Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Revolve Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Revolve Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Revolve Group LLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Revolve Group's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.13 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.46 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.66 | Wall Street Target Price 18.53 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Revolve Group based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Revolve stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Revolve Group over a specific investment horizon. Using Revolve Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Revolve Group LLC from the perspective of Revolve Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Revolve Group using Revolve Group's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Revolve using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Revolve Group's stock price.
Revolve Group Implied Volatility | 196.47 |
Revolve Group's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Revolve Group LLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Revolve Group's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Revolve Group stock will not fluctuate a lot when Revolve Group's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Revolve Group. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Revolve Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Revolve because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Revolve Group after-hype prediction price | USD 19.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Revolve |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Revolve Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Revolve Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Revolve Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Revolve Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Revolve Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Revolve Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Revolve Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Revolve Group's historical news coverage. Revolve Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.59 and 24.07, respectively. We have considered Revolve Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Revolve Group is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Revolve Group LLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Revolve Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Revolve Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Revolve Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Revolve Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 4.22 | 0.44 | 0.08 | 10 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.12 | 19.83 | 2.59 |
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Revolve Group Hype Timeline
Revolve Group LLC is at this time traded for 19.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.44, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Revolve is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.83 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 2.59%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on Revolve Group is about 2588.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.04. The company currently holds 40.99 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.07, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Revolve Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Revolve Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Revolve Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Revolve Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Revolve Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Revolve Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SCVL | Shoe Carnival | (1.06) | 9 per month | 1.60 | 0.14 | 3.49 | (2.90) | 11.59 | |
| HIBB | Hibbett Sports | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.50 | 0.02 | 3.78 | (4.05) | 12.41 | |
| CTRN | Citi Trends | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.72 | (4.82) | 13.19 | |
| ZUMZ | Zumiez Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.06 | (3.51) | 11.86 | |
| BKE | Buckle Inc | 0.33 | 8 per month | 1.94 | (0.02) | 2.71 | (2.96) | 9.04 | |
| GCO | Genesco | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.36 | (5.48) | 16.76 | |
| SFIX | Stitch Fix | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 6.13 | (6.56) | 27.87 | |
| VSCO | Victorias Secret Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.02 | (5.72) | 35.74 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | (0.90) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 16.46 | (16.45) | 99.19 | |
| LVLU | Lulus Fashion Lounge | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.91 | (6.47) | 14.76 |
Revolve Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Revolve price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Revolve using various technical indicators. When you analyze Revolve charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Revolve Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Revolve Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Revolve Group LLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Revolve Group based on analysis of Revolve Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Revolve Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Revolve Group's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 3.28 | 2.78 | 4.79 | 5.71 | PTB Ratio | 12.82 | 4.3 | 3.14 | 2.98 |
Story Coverage note for Revolve Group
The number of cover stories for Revolve Group depends on current market conditions and Revolve Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Revolve Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Revolve Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Revolve Group Short Properties
Revolve Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Revolve Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Revolve Group LLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Revolve Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Revolve Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 245.4 M |
Check out Revolve Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Revolve Stock analysis
When running Revolve Group's price analysis, check to measure Revolve Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Revolve Group is operating at the current time. Most of Revolve Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Revolve Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Revolve Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Revolve Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Revolve Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Revolve Group. If investors know Revolve will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Revolve Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.55) | Earnings Share 0.38 | Revenue Per Share 14.648 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) | Return On Assets 0.0236 |
The market value of Revolve Group LLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Revolve that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Revolve Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Revolve Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Revolve Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Revolve Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Revolve Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Revolve Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Revolve Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.