Sap Se Stock Price Prediction

SAPGF Stock  USD 187.48  1.92  1.01%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of SAP SE's share price is above 70 as of 18th of March 2024. This usually implies that its stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling a stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

70

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
SAP SE stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of SAP SE shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of SAP SE's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SAP SE and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SAP SE's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SAP SE, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of SAP SE based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The SAP stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on SAP SE over a specific investment horizon. Using SAP SE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SAP SE from the perspective of SAP SE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in SAP SE. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SAP SE to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SAP because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SAP SE after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 187.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out SAP SE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of SAP SE's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of SAP SE in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
168.73192.08193.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SAP SE. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SAP SE's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SAP SE's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in SAP SE.

SAP SE After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SAP SE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SAP SE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of SAP SE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SAP SE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SAP SE's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SAP SE's historical news coverage. SAP SE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 185.70 and 189.26, respectively. We have considered SAP SE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
187.48
185.70
Downside
187.48
After-hype Price
189.26
Upside
SAP SE is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SAP SE is based on 3 months time horizon.

SAP SE Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SAP SE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SAP SE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SAP SE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.33 
1.78
 0.00  
  0.05 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
187.48
187.48
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

SAP SE Hype Timeline

SAP SE is at this time traded for 187.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.05. SAP forecasted not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.33%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to SAP SE is about 1271.43%. The volatility of related hype on SAP SE is about 1271.43% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 187.43. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of SAP SE was at this time reported as 34.42. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.84. SAP SE last dividend was issued on the 19th of May 2022. The entity had 4:1 split on the 22nd of December 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out SAP SE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

SAP SE Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SAP SE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SAP SE's future price movements. Getting to know how SAP SE rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SAP SE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

SAP SE Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SAP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SAP using various technical indicators. When you analyze SAP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SAP SE Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SAP SE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SAP SE, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SAP SE based on analysis of SAP SE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SAP SE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SAP SE's related companies.

Story Coverage note for SAP SE

The number of cover stories for SAP SE depends on current market conditions and SAP SE's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SAP SE is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SAP SE's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

SAP SE Short Properties

SAP SE's future price predictability will typically decrease when SAP SE's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SAP SE often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SAP SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SAP SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Check out SAP SE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the SAP SE information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SAP SE's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for SAP Pink Sheet analysis

When running SAP SE's price analysis, check to measure SAP SE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SAP SE is operating at the current time. Most of SAP SE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SAP SE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SAP SE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SAP SE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between SAP SE's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SAP SE is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SAP SE's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.