SBA Communications Stock Future Price Prediction

SBAC Stock  USD 254.84  2.37  0.92%   
SBA Communications Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of SBA Communications shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of SBA Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SBA Communications and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SBA Communications' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SBA Communications Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at SBA Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of SBA Communications based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The SBA Communications stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on SBA Communications over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
Using SBA Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SBA Communications Corp from the perspective of SBA Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SBA Communications using SBA Communications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SBA Communications using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SBA Communications' stock price.
SBA Communications Calculated Tax Rate is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 12.56. The current year Receivables Turnover is expected to grow to 15.93, whereas Long Term Debt to Equity is forecasted to decline to 11.58.

SBA Communications Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in SBA Communications' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards SBA Communications. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of SBA Communications stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long SBA Communications may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about SBA Communications and may potentially protect profits, hedge SBA Communications with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Short Percent
Short Ratio
Shares Short Prior Month
1.1 M
50 Day MA

SBA Communications Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to SBA Communications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in SBA Communications. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SBA Communications can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SBA Communications Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SBA Communications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SBA Communications.

SBA Communications Implied Volatility

SBA Communications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SBA Communications Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SBA Communications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SBA Communications stock will not fluctuate a lot when SBA Communications' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in SBA Communications. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SBA Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SBA Communications because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

SBA Communications after-hype prediction price

  USD 255.24  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current SBA Communications contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that SBA Communications Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.48% per day over the life of the 2023-04-21 option contract. With SBA Communications trading at USD254.84, that is roughly USD1.21. If you think that the market is fully incorporating SBA Communications' daily price movement you should consider acquiring SBA Communications Corp options at the current volatility level of 7.62%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of SBA Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of SBA Communications in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
15 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as SBA Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against SBA Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, SBA Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in SBA Communications Corp.

SBA Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of SBA Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SBA Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SBA Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

SBA Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting SBA Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SBA Communications' historical news coverage. SBA Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 253.22 and 257.26, respectively. We have considered SBA Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 254.84
After-hype Price
SBA Communications is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SBA Communications Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

SBA Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as SBA Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SBA Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SBA Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13  2.02  0.40   0.00  8 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

SBA Communications Hype Timeline

SBA Communications Corp is at this time traded for 254.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.4 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. SBA Communications is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 255.24 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 66.45%. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 0.16% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on SBA Communications is about 121200.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 254.84. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 2.63 B. Net Income was 459.8 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.94 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally, take a look at SBA Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

SBA Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to SBA Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SBA Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how SBA Communications rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SBA Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

SBA Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine SBA Communications price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SBA Communications using various technical indicators. When you analyze SBA Communications charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About SBA Communications Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of SBA Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SBA Communications Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SBA Communications based on analysis of SBA Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SBA Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SBA Communications's related companies.
 2022 2023 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity13.611.58
Interest Coverage2.262.44

Story Coverage note for SBA Communications

The number of cover stories for SBA Communications depends on current market conditions and SBA Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SBA Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SBA Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

SBA Communications Short Properties

SBA Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when SBA Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SBA Communications Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SBA Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SBA Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding109.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments143.7 M
Additionally, take a look at SBA Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the SBA Communications Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SBA Communications' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.

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When running SBA Communications Corp price analysis, check to measure SBA Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SBA Communications is operating at the current time. Most of SBA Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SBA Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SBA Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SBA Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is SBA Communications' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SBA Communications. If investors know SBA Communications will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SBA Communications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Dividend Share
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
The market value of SBA Communications Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SBA Communications that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SBA Communications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SBA Communications' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SBA Communications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SBA Communications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SBA Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine SBA Communications value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SBA Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.