Sirius Stock Future Price Prediction

SIRI -  USA Stock  

USD 6.34  0.09  1.40%

Sirius XM Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Sirius XM shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Sirius XM's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sirius XM and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sirius XM's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sirius XM Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Sirius XM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Sirius XM based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Sirius stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sirius XM over a specific investment horizon. Using Sirius XM hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sirius XM Holdings from the perspective of Sirius XM response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Sirius XM Calculated Tax Rate is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Calculated Tax Rate was reported at 69.53. The current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 14.24, while PPandE Turnover is projected to decrease to 3.92.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Sirius XM. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sirius XM to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sirius because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sirius XM after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 6.43  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sirius XM's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Sirius XM in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.347.128.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.686.468.23
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
6.757.8010.25
Details
Earnings
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.210.240.26
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sirius XM. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sirius XM's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sirius XM's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Sirius XM Holdings.

Sirius XM After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sirius XM at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sirius XM or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Sirius XM, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Sirius XM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sirius XM's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sirius XM's historical news coverage. Sirius XM's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.65 and 8.21, respectively. We have considered Sirius XM's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.34
26th of July 2021
6.43
After-hype Price
8.21
Upside
Sirius XM is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sirius XM Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sirius XM Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Sirius XM is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sirius XM backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sirius XM, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.03  1.78  0.00   0.02  11 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.346.430.00 
1,618  

Sirius XM Hype Timeline

Sirius XM Holdings is at this time traded for 6.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Sirius projected not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis projected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Sirius XM is about 234.98%. The volatility of related hype on Sirius XM is about 234.98% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.32. About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.42. Sirius XM Holdings next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 6th of May 2021. The entity had 4:1 split on the 10th of October 2011. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 11 days.
Additionally, take a look at Sirius XM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sirius XM Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sirius XM's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sirius XM's future price movements. Getting to know how Sirius XM rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sirius XM may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Weibo Corp ADR(0.75) 9 per month 1.83  0.12  3.86 (3.47)  10.24 
Omnicom Group(1.14) 7 per month 0.00 (0.15)  1.57 (2.31)  7.12 
Sohu Inc ADR 0.07 7 per month 2.38  0.05  4.99 (3.88)  32.51 
Twitter 0.10 9 per month 3.01  0.033  3.49 (3.68)  19.38 
Cloudflare Inc Cl(1.32) 10 per month 2.77  0.21  5.45 (3.84)  22.26 
Ford Motor 0.03 10 per month 2.21  0.09  6.73 (2.86)  11.76 
Christian Dior S 0.00 4 per month 0.65  0.11  2.34 (1.74)  13.90 
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals(3.05) 9 per month 0.93  0.14  2.77 (1.66)  5.24 

Sirius XM Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sirius price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sirius using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sirius charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sirius XM Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sirius XM stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sirius XM Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sirius XM based on analysis of Sirius XM hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sirius XM's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sirius XM's related companies.
 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity3.954.86
Interest Coverage2.182.75

Story Coverage note for Sirius XM

The number of cover stories for Sirius XM depends on current market conditions and Sirius XM's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sirius XM is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sirius XM's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sirius XM Short Properties

Sirius XM's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sirius XM's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sirius XM Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sirius XM's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sirius XM's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out4.39%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.06
Short Percent Of Float20.15%
Float Shares922.67M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day15.11M
Shares Short Prior Month169.51M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month19.86M
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.86%
Additionally, take a look at Sirius XM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Sirius XM Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Sirius XM's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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The market value of Sirius XM Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sirius that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sirius XM's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sirius XM's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Sirius XM's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sirius XM Holdings underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Sirius XM's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Sirius XM value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sirius XM's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.