Skyline Stock Price Prediction
| SKY Stock | USD 75.49 2.13 2.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Skyline stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Skyline shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Skyline's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Skyline and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Skyline's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Skyline, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Skyline's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.21 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.31 | Wall Street Target Price 79.17 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Skyline based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Skyline stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Skyline over a specific investment horizon. Using Skyline hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Skyline from the perspective of Skyline response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Skyline using Skyline's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Skyline using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Skyline's stock price.
Skyline Implied Volatility | 67.69 |
Skyline's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Skyline stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Skyline's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Skyline stock will not fluctuate a lot when Skyline's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Skyline. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Skyline to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Skyline because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Skyline after-hype prediction price | USD 75.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Skyline contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Skyline will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.23% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Skyline trading at USD 75.49, that is roughly USD 3.19 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Skyline's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Skyline options at the current volatility level of 67.69%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Skyline |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Skyline's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Skyline After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Skyline at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Skyline or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Skyline, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Skyline Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Skyline's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Skyline's historical news coverage. Skyline's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 72.95 and 78.59, respectively. We have considered Skyline's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Skyline is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Skyline is based on 3 months time horizon.
Skyline Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Skyline is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Skyline backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Skyline, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.84 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 12 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
75.49 | 75.77 | 0.37 |
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Skyline Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April Skyline is traded for 75.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.19. Skyline is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 75.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 172.12%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.37%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Skyline is about 260.25%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 75.30. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.61 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 401.8 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 818.68 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Skyline Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Skyline Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Skyline's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Skyline's future price movements. Getting to know how Skyline's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Skyline may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MHO | MI Homes | (0.27) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.63 | (5.54) | 10.93 | |
| CCS | Century Communities | (0.43) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.80 | (5.45) | 14.39 | |
| IBP | Installed Building Products | (4.54) | 5 per month | 2.08 | 0.11 | 4.28 | (3.70) | 15.64 | |
| TMHC | Taylor Morn Home | (1.50) | 11 per month | 2.22 | 0.01 | 3.48 | (4.37) | 10.17 | |
| BZH | Beazer Homes USA | (0.38) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 3.65 | (5.59) | 14.15 | |
| MDC | MDC Holdings | 0.04 | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.34 | (0.32) | 18.69 | |
| LGIH | LGI Homes | (1.66) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.30 | (5.68) | 14.92 | |
| TPH | TRI Pointe Homes | 0.01 | 9 per month | 2.12 | (0) | 3.07 | (3.92) | 8.93 |
Skyline Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Skyline price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Skyline using various technical indicators. When you analyze Skyline charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Skyline Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Skyline stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Skyline, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Skyline based on analysis of Skyline hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Skyline's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Skyline's related companies. | 2010 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 3.48 | 1.16 | 1.37 | Dividend Yield | 0.008635 | 0.0396 | 0.03 |
Story Coverage note for Skyline
The number of cover stories for Skyline depends on current market conditions and Skyline's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Skyline is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Skyline's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Skyline Short Properties
Skyline's future price predictability will typically decrease when Skyline's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Skyline often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Skyline's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Skyline's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 747.5 M |
Check out Skyline Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Skyline Stock please use our How to Invest in Skyline guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Complementary Tools for Skyline Stock analysis
When running Skyline's price analysis, check to measure Skyline's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Skyline is operating at the current time. Most of Skyline's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Skyline's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Skyline's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Skyline to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Skyline's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Skyline. If investors know Skyline will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Skyline listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | Earnings Share 3.49 | Revenue Per Share 34.555 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets 0.0873 |
The market value of Skyline is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Skyline that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Skyline's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Skyline's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Skyline's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Skyline's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Skyline's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Skyline is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Skyline's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.