Vaneck Vectors Etf Price Prediction
| SMI Etf | USD 45.74 0.01 0.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
31
Oversold | Overbought |
VanEck Vectors ETF etf price prediction is an act of determining the future value of VanEck Vectors shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of VanEck Vectors' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of VanEck Vectors and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from VanEck Vectors' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with VanEck Vectors ETF, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether etf price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of VanEck Vectors based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The VanEck price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on VanEck Vectors over a specific investment horizon. Using VanEck Vectors hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VanEck Vectors ETF from the perspective of VanEck Vectors response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in VanEck Vectors. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in VanEck Vectors to buy its etf at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying VanEck because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell etfs at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
VanEck Vectors after-hype prediction price | USD 45.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
VanEck |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VanEck Vectors' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VanEck Vectors After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of VanEck Vectors at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VanEck Vectors or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of VanEck Vectors, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
VanEck Vectors Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting VanEck Vectors' etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VanEck Vectors' historical news coverage. VanEck Vectors' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.49 and 45.99, respectively. We have considered VanEck Vectors' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
VanEck Vectors is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VanEck Vectors ETF is based on 3 months time horizon.
VanEck Vectors Etf Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as VanEck Vectors is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VanEck Vectors backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VanEck Vectors, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
45.74 | 45.74 | 0.00 |
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VanEck Vectors Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April VanEck Vectors ETF is traded for 45.74. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. VanEck is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 113.64%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on VanEck Vectors is about 152.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 45.74. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.97. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. VanEck Vectors ETF has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 200.0. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out VanEck Vectors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.VanEck Vectors Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to VanEck Vectors' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VanEck Vectors' future price movements. Getting to know how VanEck Vectors' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VanEck Vectors may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TFI | SPDR Nuveen Bloomberg | (0.15) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.42) | 0.35 | (0.43) | 1.25 | |
| ITM | VanEck Intermediate Muni | (0.16) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.39) | 0.41 | (0.50) | 1.23 | |
| MLN | VanEck Long Muni | (0.1) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 0.51 | (0.83) | 1.81 | |
| SHM | SPDR Nuveen Bloomberg | (0.22) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.70) | 0.23 | (0.21) | 0.72 | |
| PWZ | Invesco California AMT Free | (0.19) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.41 | (0.53) | 1.57 |
VanEck Vectors Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine VanEck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VanEck using various technical indicators. When you analyze VanEck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About VanEck Vectors Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of VanEck Vectors stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as VanEck Vectors ETF, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of VanEck Vectors based on analysis of VanEck Vectors hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to VanEck Vectors's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to VanEck Vectors's related companies. Story Coverage note for VanEck Vectors
The number of cover stories for VanEck Vectors depends on current market conditions and VanEck Vectors' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VanEck Vectors is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VanEck Vectors' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out VanEck Vectors Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
The market value of VanEck Vectors ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Vectors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Vectors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Vectors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Vectors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Vectors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Vectors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Vectors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.