Sndl Inc Stock Price Prediction
| SNDL Stock | USD 2.00 0.07 3.38% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
58
Oversold | Overbought |
SNDL Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of SNDL shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of SNDL's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SNDL and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SNDL's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SNDL Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SNDL's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Current Year 0.01 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.04 | Wall Street Target Price 3.64 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of SNDL based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The SNDL stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on SNDL over a specific investment horizon. Using SNDL hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SNDL Inc from the perspective of SNDL response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SNDL using SNDL's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SNDL using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SNDL's stock price.
SNDL Implied Volatility | 171.95 |
SNDL's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SNDL Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SNDL's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SNDL stock will not fluctuate a lot when SNDL's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in SNDL. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SNDL to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SNDL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SNDL after-hype prediction price | USD 2.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SNDL |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SNDL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SNDL After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SNDL at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SNDL or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SNDL, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SNDL Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SNDL's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SNDL's historical news coverage. SNDL's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 8.09, respectively. We have considered SNDL's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SNDL is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SNDL Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
SNDL Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SNDL is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SNDL backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SNDL, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.73 | 5.95 | 0.14 | 0.19 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.00 | 2.14 | 7.00 |
|
SNDL Hype Timeline
SNDL Inc is at this time traded for 2.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.14, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. SNDL is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 7.0%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.73%. The volatility of related hype on SNDL is about 2273.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.19. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (0.19) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (0.06) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of $0.06. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out SNDL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SNDL Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SNDL's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SNDL's future price movements. Getting to know how SNDL's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SNDL may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CGC | Canopy Growth Corp | (0.55) | 12 per month | 5.96 | 0.13 | 20.65 | (10.51) | 88.02 | |
| ACB | Aurora Cannabis | 2.15 | 10 per month | 4.61 | 0.12 | 16.35 | (7.83) | 53.18 | |
| CRON | Cronos Group | (0.11) | 10 per month | 2.57 | 0.07 | 6.19 | (4.46) | 15.96 | |
| TLRY | Tilray Inc | 0.05 | 9 per month | 4.53 | (0.01) | 8.84 | (6.25) | 38.92 | |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings | 0.03 | 10 per month | 5.22 | 0.02 | 10.24 | (8.30) | 35.20 | |
| CURLF | Curaleaf Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.13 | 0.02 | 7.49 | (7.79) | 30.74 |
SNDL Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SNDL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SNDL using various technical indicators. When you analyze SNDL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SNDL Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SNDL stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SNDL Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SNDL based on analysis of SNDL hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SNDL's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SNDL's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 70.66 | 10.87 | 10.32 | PTB Ratio | 1.03 | 0.46 | 0.44 |
Story Coverage note for SNDL
The number of cover stories for SNDL depends on current market conditions and SNDL's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SNDL is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SNDL's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
SNDL Short Properties
SNDL's future price predictability will typically decrease when SNDL's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SNDL Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SNDL's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SNDL's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 259.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 201.6 M |
Check out SNDL Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the SNDL Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other SNDL's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the AI Portfolio Architect module to use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities.
Complementary Tools for SNDL Stock analysis
When running SNDL's price analysis, check to measure SNDL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SNDL is operating at the current time. Most of SNDL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SNDL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SNDL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SNDL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments |
Is SNDL's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SNDL. If investors know SNDL will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SNDL listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.47) | Revenue Per Share 3.505 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.033 | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity (0.13) |
The market value of SNDL Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SNDL that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SNDL's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SNDL's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SNDL's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SNDL's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SNDL's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SNDL is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SNDL's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.