Spi Energy Co Stock Price Prediction
| SPI Stock | USD 0.48 0.02 4.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
SPI Energy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of SPI Energy shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of SPI Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of SPI Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from SPI Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with SPI Energy Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting SPI Energy's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Current Year (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.01) | Wall Street Target Price 1.25 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.307 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of SPI Energy based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The SPI stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on SPI Energy over a specific investment horizon. Using SPI Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SPI Energy Co from the perspective of SPI Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards SPI Energy using SPI Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards SPI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of SPI Energy's stock price.
SPI Energy Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
SPI Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of SPI Energy Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if SPI Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that SPI Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when SPI Energy's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in SPI Energy. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SPI Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SPI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SPI Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 0.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SPI |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SPI Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SPI Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SPI Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SPI Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SPI Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SPI Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SPI Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SPI Energy's historical news coverage. SPI Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 5.15, respectively. We have considered SPI Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SPI Energy is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SPI Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
SPI Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SPI Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SPI Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SPI Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 4.67 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 4 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.48 | 0.50 | 0.00 |
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SPI Energy Hype Timeline
On the 19th of April SPI Energy is traded for 0.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.11. SPI is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.43%. %. The volatility of related hype on SPI Energy is about 1901.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.59. About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.4. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SPI Energy recorded a loss per share of 0.96. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of November 2018. The firm had 1:10 split on the 16th of November 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out SPI Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SPI Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SPI Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SPI Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how SPI Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SPI Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ISUN | iSun Inc | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 10.53 | (9.52) | 33.33 | |
| SUNW | Sunworks | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 12.50 | (35.63) | 133.82 | |
| ASTI | Ascent Solar Technologies | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.31) | 7.69 | (11.11) | 62.14 | |
| SOL | Emeren Group | 0.07 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 7.92 | (7.49) | 38.19 | |
| SPWR | SunPower | (0.16) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 15.14 | (9.59) | 37.53 | |
| RUN | Sunrun Inc | 1.50 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 9.60 | (8.16) | 28.48 | |
| NOVA | Sunnova Energy International | (0.35) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 11.49 | (11.79) | 40.80 | |
| JKS | JinkoSolar Holding | 0.70 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.49 | (5.33) | 15.24 | |
| CSIQ | Canadian Solar | 0.44 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 6.10 | (5.41) | 21.70 |
SPI Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SPI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SPI using various technical indicators. When you analyze SPI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SPI Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SPI Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SPI Energy Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SPI Energy based on analysis of SPI Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SPI Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SPI Energy's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 5.91 | 5.36 | 4.83 | 3.68 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 56.04 | 64.9 | 74.63 | 68.01 |
Story Coverage note for SPI Energy
The number of cover stories for SPI Energy depends on current market conditions and SPI Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SPI Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SPI Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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SPI Energy Short Properties
SPI Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when SPI Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SPI Energy Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SPI Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SPI Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.5 M |
Check out SPI Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for SPI Stock analysis
When running SPI Energy's price analysis, check to measure SPI Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SPI Energy is operating at the current time. Most of SPI Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SPI Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SPI Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SPI Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is SPI Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SPI Energy. If investors know SPI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SPI Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.96) | Revenue Per Share 7.228 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.307 | Return On Assets (0.04) | Return On Equity (1.25) |
The market value of SPI Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SPI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SPI Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SPI Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SPI Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SPI Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SPI Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SPI Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SPI Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.