Sun Hung Kai Stock Price Prediction

SUHJF Stock  USD 9.37  0.33  3.40%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Sun Hung's share price is above 70 as of 28th of March 2024. This usually implies that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Sun, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

77

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Sun Hung Kai stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Sun Hung shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Sun Hung's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sun Hung and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sun Hung's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sun Hung Kai, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Sun Hung based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Sun stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sun Hung over a specific investment horizon. Using Sun Hung hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sun Hung Kai from the perspective of Sun Hung response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Sun Hung. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Sun Hung to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Sun because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Sun Hung after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 9.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Sun Hung Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sun Hung's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.318.5110.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Sun Hung. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Sun Hung's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Sun Hung's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Sun Hung Kai.

Sun Hung After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sun Hung at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sun Hung or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Sun Hung, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sun Hung Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sun Hung's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sun Hung's historical news coverage. Sun Hung's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.50 and 11.90, respectively. We have considered Sun Hung's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
9.37
9.70
After-hype Price
11.90
Upside
Sun Hung is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sun Hung Kai is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sun Hung Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sun Hung is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sun Hung backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sun Hung, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
2.22
 0.00  
  0.06 
0 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
9.37
9.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sun Hung Hype Timeline

Sun Hung Kai is at this time traded for 9.37. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.06. Sun is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.15%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sun Hung is about 534.02%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.31. About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.48. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Sun Hung Kai has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.88. The entity last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2022. The firm had 2:1 split on the 31st of March 1987. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Sun Hung Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sun Hung Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sun Hung's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sun Hung's future price movements. Getting to know how Sun Hung rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sun Hung may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Sun Hung Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sun price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sun using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sun charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Sun Hung Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Sun Hung stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Sun Hung Kai, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Sun Hung based on analysis of Sun Hung hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Sun Hung's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Sun Hung's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Sun Hung

The number of cover stories for Sun Hung depends on current market conditions and Sun Hung's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sun Hung is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sun Hung's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Sun Hung Short Properties

Sun Hung's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sun Hung's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sun Hung Kai often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sun Hung's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sun Hung's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.9 B
Check out Sun Hung Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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When running Sun Hung's price analysis, check to measure Sun Hung's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sun Hung is operating at the current time. Most of Sun Hung's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sun Hung's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sun Hung's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sun Hung to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Sun Hung's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Sun Hung is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Sun Hung's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.