Shockwave Medical Stock Price Prediction
| SWAV Stock | USD 328.54 0.06 0.02% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
79
Oversold | Overbought |
Shockwave Medical stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Shockwave Medical shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Shockwave Medical's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Shockwave Medical and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Shockwave Medical's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shockwave Medical, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Shockwave Medical's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.92 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.85 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.18 | Wall Street Target Price 316.14 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Shockwave Medical based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Shockwave stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Shockwave Medical over a specific investment horizon. Using Shockwave Medical hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Shockwave Medical from the perspective of Shockwave Medical response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Shockwave Medical using Shockwave Medical's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Shockwave using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Shockwave Medical's stock price.
Shockwave Medical Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Shockwave Medical's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Shockwave. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Shockwave Medical stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Shockwave Medical may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Shockwave Medical and may potentially protect profits, hedge Shockwave Medical with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 231.1862 | Short Percent 0.0707 | Short Ratio 2.97 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.8 M | 50 Day MA 287.302 |
Shockwave Medical Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Shockwave Medical's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Shockwave. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Shockwave can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Shockwave Medical. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Shockwave Medical's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Shockwave Medical.
Shockwave Medical Implied Volatility | 17.81 |
Shockwave Medical's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Shockwave Medical stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Shockwave Medical's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Shockwave Medical stock will not fluctuate a lot when Shockwave Medical's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Shockwave Medical. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Shockwave Medical to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Shockwave because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Shockwave Medical after-hype prediction price | USD 328.54 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Shockwave contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Shockwave Medical will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.11% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Shockwave Medical trading at USD 328.54, that is roughly USD 3.66 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Shockwave Medical's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Shockwave Medical options at the current volatility level of 17.81%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Shockwave |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shockwave Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Shockwave Medical After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Shockwave Medical at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Shockwave Medical or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Shockwave Medical, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Shockwave Medical Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Shockwave Medical's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Shockwave Medical's historical news coverage. Shockwave Medical's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 326.21 and 330.87, respectively. We have considered Shockwave Medical's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Shockwave Medical is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shockwave Medical is based on 3 months time horizon.
Shockwave Medical Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Shockwave Medical is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Shockwave Medical backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Shockwave Medical, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.63 | 2.33 | 2.10 | 0.01 | 12 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
328.54 | 328.54 | 0.00 |
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Shockwave Medical Hype Timeline
Shockwave Medical is at this time traded for 328.54. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Shockwave is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 69.76%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.63%. %. The volatility of related hype on Shockwave Medical is about 15533.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 328.53. About 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.38. Shockwave Medical had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Shockwave Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Shockwave Medical Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Shockwave Medical's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Shockwave Medical's future price movements. Getting to know how Shockwave Medical's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Shockwave Medical may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| THMO | Thermogenesis Holdings | (0.05) | 2 per month | 5.95 | 0.13 | 18.89 | (10.14) | 54.53 | |
| MOTS | Motus GI Holdings | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 6.56 | (28.18) | 120.11 |
Shockwave Medical Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Shockwave price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Shockwave using various technical indicators. When you analyze Shockwave charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Shockwave Medical Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Shockwave Medical stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Shockwave Medical, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Shockwave Medical based on analysis of Shockwave Medical hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Shockwave Medical's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Shockwave Medical's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 9.55E-4 | 8.91E-4 | 6.32E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 26.39 | 9.58 | 9.1 |
Story Coverage note for Shockwave Medical
The number of cover stories for Shockwave Medical depends on current market conditions and Shockwave Medical's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Shockwave Medical is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Shockwave Medical's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Shockwave Medical Short Properties
Shockwave Medical's future price predictability will typically decrease when Shockwave Medical's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Shockwave Medical often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Shockwave Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Shockwave Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 990.6 M |
Check out Shockwave Medical Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Shockwave Stock please use our How to Invest in Shockwave Medical guide.Note that the Shockwave Medical information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Shockwave Medical's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for Shockwave Stock analysis
When running Shockwave Medical's price analysis, check to measure Shockwave Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shockwave Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Shockwave Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shockwave Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shockwave Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shockwave Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Shockwave Medical's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Shockwave Medical. If investors know Shockwave will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Shockwave Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Earnings Share 3.84 | Revenue Per Share 19.894 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.409 | Return On Assets 0.0938 |
The market value of Shockwave Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Shockwave that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Shockwave Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Shockwave Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Shockwave Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Shockwave Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Shockwave Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shockwave Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shockwave Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.