Teekay Stock Price Prediction
| TK Stock | USD 7.26 0.20 2.83% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Teekay stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Teekay shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Teekay's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Teekay and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Teekay's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Teekay, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Teekay's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Wall Street Target Price 5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Teekay based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Teekay stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Teekay over a specific investment horizon. Using Teekay hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Teekay from the perspective of Teekay response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Teekay using Teekay's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Teekay using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Teekay's stock price.
Teekay Implied Volatility | 291.58 |
Teekay's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Teekay stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Teekay's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Teekay stock will not fluctuate a lot when Teekay's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Teekay. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Teekay to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Teekay because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Teekay after-hype prediction price | USD 7.08 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Teekay |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Teekay's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Teekay After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Teekay at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Teekay or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Teekay, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Teekay Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Teekay's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Teekay's historical news coverage. Teekay's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.79 and 9.37, respectively. We have considered Teekay's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Teekay is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Teekay is based on 3 months time horizon.
Teekay Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Teekay is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Teekay backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Teekay, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.33 | 0.02 | 0.07 | 9 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.26 | 7.08 | 0.28 |
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Teekay Hype Timeline
As of April 19, 2024 Teekay is listed for 7.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Teekay is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.08 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Teekay is about 679.58%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.19. The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.46 B. Reported Net Income was 150.64 M with gross profit of 392.07 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Teekay Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Teekay Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Teekay's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Teekay's future price movements. Getting to know how Teekay's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Teekay may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TNK | Teekay Tankers | (0.39) | 9 per month | 1.87 | (0.02) | 3.30 | (2.94) | 10.85 | |
| DHT | DHT Holdings | (0.04) | 10 per month | 1.35 | (0.01) | 3.40 | (2.35) | 7.20 | |
| FRO | Frontline | 0.01 | 7 per month | 1.89 | 0.01 | 3.97 | (2.87) | 8.12 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | (0.85) | 11 per month | 1.69 | (0.01) | 2.36 | (2.63) | 7.60 | |
| STNG | Scorpio Tankers | (1.31) | 12 per month | 1.65 | 0.04 | 3.44 | (3.28) | 11.10 | |
| EURN | Euronav NV | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.56 | (2.30) | 11.42 | |
| TNP | Tsakos Energy Navigation | 0.17 | 8 per month | 1.69 | (0.03) | 3.45 | (3.01) | 8.09 |
Teekay Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Teekay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Teekay using various technical indicators. When you analyze Teekay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Teekay Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Teekay stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Teekay, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Teekay based on analysis of Teekay hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Teekay's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Teekay's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.23 | 0.21 | 0.22 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.44 |
Story Coverage note for Teekay
The number of cover stories for Teekay depends on current market conditions and Teekay's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Teekay is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Teekay's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Teekay Short Properties
Teekay's future price predictability will typically decrease when Teekay's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Teekay often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Teekay's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Teekay's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 96.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 653.4 M |
Check out Teekay Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Teekay Stock please use our How to buy in Teekay Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for Teekay Stock analysis
When running Teekay's price analysis, check to measure Teekay's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Teekay is operating at the current time. Most of Teekay's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Teekay's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Teekay's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Teekay to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Teekay's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Teekay. If investors know Teekay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Teekay listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Earnings Share 1.54 | Revenue Per Share 15.505 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.14) | Return On Assets 0.1489 |
The market value of Teekay is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Teekay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Teekay's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Teekay's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Teekay's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Teekay's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Teekay's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Teekay is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Teekay's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.