Trustco Stock Future Price Prediction

TRST -  USA Stock  

USD 30.83  0.40  1.31%

Trustco Bank Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Trustco Bank shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Trustco Bank's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Trustco Bank and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Trustco Bank's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Trustco Bank Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Additionally, take a look at Trustco Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Trustco Bank based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Trustco stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Trustco Bank over a specific investment horizon. Using Trustco Bank hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trustco Bank Corp from the perspective of Trustco Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Trustco Bank using Trustco Bank's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Trustco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Trustco Bank's stock price.

Trustco Bank Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Trustco Bank's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Trustco Bank Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Trustco Bank's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Trustco Bank stock will not fluctuate a lot when Trustco Bank's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Trustco Bank. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Trustco Bank to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Trustco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Trustco Bank after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 30.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Trustco Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Trustco Bank in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
27.7532.7434.16
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
34.0034.0034.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.093.093.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Trustco Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Trustco Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Trustco Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Trustco Bank Corp.

Trustco Bank After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Trustco Bank at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trustco Bank or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Trustco Bank, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Trustco Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Trustco Bank's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trustco Bank's historical news coverage. Trustco Bank's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.42 and 32.26, respectively. We have considered Trustco Bank's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 30.83
30.84
After-hype Price
32.26
Upside
Trustco Bank is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trustco Bank Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Trustco Bank Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Trustco Bank is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trustco Bank backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trustco Bank, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
  0.13  1.42  0.01    0.07  7 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
30.8330.840.03 
2,840  

Trustco Bank Hype Timeline

Trustco Bank Corp is at this time traded for 30.83. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Trustco is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 30.84 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is forecasted to be 0.03% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Trustco Bank is about 256.32% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 30.76. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 183.8 M. Net Income was 61.52 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 183.79 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 7 days.
Additionally, take a look at Trustco Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Trustco Bank Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Trustco Bank's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trustco Bank's future price movements. Getting to know how Trustco Bank rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trustco Bank may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Trustco Bank Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Trustco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trustco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trustco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Trustco Bank Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Trustco Bank stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Trustco Bank Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trustco Bank based on analysis of Trustco Bank hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Trustco Bank's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Trustco Bank's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Trustco Bank

The number of cover stories for Trustco Bank depends on current market conditions and Trustco Bank's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trustco Bank is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trustco Bank's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Trustco Bank Short Properties

Trustco Bank's future price predictability will typically decrease when Trustco Bank's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trustco Bank Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trustco Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trustco Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.65%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.36
Short Percent Of Float0.78%
Float Shares18.7M
Shares Short Prior Month115.01k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day75.6k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month73.18k
Date Short Interest31st of January 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.43%
Additionally, take a look at Trustco Bank Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Trustco Bank Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Trustco Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..

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When running Trustco Bank Corp price analysis, check to measure Trustco Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Trustco Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Trustco Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Trustco Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Trustco Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Trustco Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Trustco Bank's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trustco Bank. If investors know Trustco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trustco Bank listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Trustco Bank Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trustco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trustco Bank's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trustco Bank's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trustco Bank's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trustco Bank's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trustco Bank's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Trustco Bank value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trustco Bank's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.