Townsquare Stock Price Prediction

TSQ -  USA Stock  

USD 11.56  2.02  14.87%

Townsquare Media stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Townsquare Media shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Townsquare Media stock future price could yield a significant profit.
We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Townsquare Media, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Additionally, take a look at Townsquare Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Townsquare Media based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Townsquare stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Townsquare Media over a specific investment horizon. Using Townsquare Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Townsquare Media from the perspective of Townsquare Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Townsquare Media Cash and Equivalents Turnover is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Townsquare Media reported last year Cash and Equivalents Turnover of 4.41. As of 20th of June 2021, Cash Flow Per Share is likely to grow to 2.18, while Return on Investment is likely to drop (11.16) .
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Townsquare Media. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Townsquare Media to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Townsquare because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Townsquare Media after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 11.56  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Townsquare Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Townsquare Media in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
10.5814.0017.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
8.3911.8115.23
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
19.0023.0027.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.301.301.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Townsquare Media. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Townsquare Media's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Townsquare Media's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Townsquare Media.

Townsquare Media After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Townsquare Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Townsquare Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Townsquare Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Townsquare Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Townsquare Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Townsquare Media's historical news coverage. Townsquare Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.14 and 14.98, respectively. We have considered Townsquare Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.56
20th of June 2021
11.56
After-hype Price
14.98
Upside
Townsquare Media is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Townsquare Media is based on 3 months time horizon.

Townsquare Media Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Townsquare Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Townsquare Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Townsquare Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.02  3.42  0.00   0.01  5 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.5611.560.00 
2,443  

Townsquare Media Hype Timeline

On the 20th of June Townsquare Media is traded for 11.56. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Townsquare projected not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis projected to be very small whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Townsquare Media is about 950.0%. The volatility of related hype on Townsquare Media is about 950.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 11.55. About 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Townsquare Media was at this time reported as 5.11. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.77. Townsquare Media recorded a loss per share of 4.46. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 1st of April 2020. The firm had 1:4 split on the 9th of October 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Additionally, take a look at Townsquare Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Townsquare Media Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Townsquare Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Townsquare Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Townsquare Media rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Townsquare Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Omnicom Group(2.24) 2 per month 1.21 (0.0073)  1.90 (1.91)  4.59 
Wpp Plc ADR(0.42) 2 per month 1.41  0.0347  2.63 (2.20)  6.61 
Publicis Groupe 0.00 6 per month 1.01  0.0236  2.68 (2.51)  9.39 
PUBLICIS GROUPE SA 0.15 4 per month 1.45  0.0133  2.71 (2.00)  7.09 
Interpublic Group 0.82 7 per month 1.49  0.0395  2.54 (2.84)  7.37 
Cyberagent Inc ADR 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.12)  7.85 (8.13)  70.45 
Dentsu Inc ADR(1.91) 1 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.63 (3.83)  10.07 
Cyber Agt 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.96 (0.48)  92.63 
Hakuhodo Dy Holdings 0.00 1 per month 0.00 (0.08)  0.64  0.00  11.16 
Jc Decaux Sa 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.18  3.30  0.00  10.86 

Townsquare Media Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Townsquare price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Townsquare using various technical indicators. When you analyze Townsquare charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Townsquare Media Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Townsquare Media stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Townsquare Media, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Townsquare Media based on analysis of Townsquare Media hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Townsquare Media's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Townsquare Media's related companies.
 2018 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.635.596.03
Interest Coverage1.171.341.47

Story Coverage note for Townsquare Media

The number of cover stories for Townsquare Media depends on current market conditions and Townsquare Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Townsquare Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Townsquare Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Contributor Headline

Latest Perspective on Townsquare Media

Townsquare Media Short Properties

Townsquare Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Townsquare Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Townsquare Media often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Townsquare Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Townsquare Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.03%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.08
Short Percent Of Float1.58%
Float Shares10.44M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day96.62k
Shares Short Prior Month122.96k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month82.65k
Date Short Interest15th of April 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.54%
Additionally, take a look at Townsquare Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Townsquare Media information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Townsquare Media's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

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When running Townsquare Media price analysis, check to measure Townsquare Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Townsquare Media is operating at the current time. Most of Townsquare Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Townsquare Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Townsquare Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Townsquare Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Townsquare Media is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Townsquare that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Townsquare Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Townsquare Media's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Townsquare Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Townsquare Media underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Townsquare Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Townsquare Media value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Townsquare Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.