United Bankshares Stock Price Prediction

UBSI Stock  USD 35.37  1.51  4.46%   
As of 28th of March 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of United Bankshares' share price is approaching 46. This usually implies that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling United Bankshares, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
United Bankshares stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of United Bankshares shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of United Bankshares' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of United Bankshares and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from United Bankshares' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with United Bankshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting United Bankshares' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.64
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.64
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.73
Wall Street Target Price
38.67
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of United Bankshares based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The United stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on United Bankshares over a specific investment horizon. Using United Bankshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of United Bankshares from the perspective of United Bankshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards United Bankshares using United Bankshares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards United using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of United Bankshares' stock price.

United Bankshares Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
United Bankshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of United Bankshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if United Bankshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that United Bankshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when United Bankshares' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in United Bankshares. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in United Bankshares to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying United because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

United Bankshares after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.33  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out United Bankshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Bankshares guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Bankshares' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.4933.3138.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
32.9834.8136.63
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
28.5131.3334.78
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.640.650.66
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as United Bankshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against United Bankshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, United Bankshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in United Bankshares.

United Bankshares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of United Bankshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in United Bankshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of United Bankshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

United Bankshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting United Bankshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on United Bankshares' historical news coverage. United Bankshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.51 and 37.15, respectively. We have considered United Bankshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.37
35.33
After-hype Price
37.15
Upside
United Bankshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of United Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

United Bankshares Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as United Bankshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading United Bankshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with United Bankshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
1.82
  0.04 
 0.00  
9 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.37
35.33
0.11 
284.37  
Notes

United Bankshares Hype Timeline

United Bankshares is at this time traded for 35.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. United is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 35.33. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on United Bankshares is about 3033.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.37. About 72.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.0. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. United Bankshares has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.92. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of March 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 30th of March 1998. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out United Bankshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Bankshares guide.

United Bankshares Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to United Bankshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict United Bankshares' future price movements. Getting to know how United Bankshares rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how United Bankshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

United Bankshares Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine United price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for United using various technical indicators. When you analyze United charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About United Bankshares Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of United Bankshares stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as United Bankshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of United Bankshares based on analysis of United Bankshares hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to United Bankshares's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to United Bankshares's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio12.7513.7912.7
Short Term Coverage Ratios4.730.240.23

Story Coverage note for United Bankshares

The number of cover stories for United Bankshares depends on current market conditions and United Bankshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that United Bankshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about United Bankshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

United Bankshares Short Properties

United Bankshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when United Bankshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of United Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential United Bankshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Bankshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding134.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-1.6 B
When determining whether United Bankshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of United Bankshares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of United Bankshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on United Bankshares Stock:
Check out United Bankshares Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in United Stock please use our How to Invest in United Bankshares guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.

Complementary Tools for United Stock analysis

When running United Bankshares' price analysis, check to measure United Bankshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Bankshares is operating at the current time. Most of United Bankshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Bankshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Bankshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Bankshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is United Bankshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of United Bankshares. If investors know United will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about United Bankshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.20)
Dividend Share
1.45
Earnings Share
2.71
Revenue Per Share
7.613
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of United Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of United that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of United Bankshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is United Bankshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because United Bankshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect United Bankshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between United Bankshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if United Bankshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, United Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.