Unitedhealth Stock Future Price Prediction

UNH -  USA Stock  

USD 464.73  4.62  1.00%

Unitedhealth Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Unitedhealth shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Unitedhealth's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Unitedhealth and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Unitedhealth's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Unitedhealth Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at Unitedhealth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Unitedhealth Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Unitedhealth based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Unitedhealth stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Unitedhealth over a specific investment horizon. Using Unitedhealth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Unitedhealth Group from the perspective of Unitedhealth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Unitedhealth using Unitedhealth's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Unitedhealth using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Unitedhealth's stock price.
Unitedhealth PPandE Turnover is most likely to drop in the upcoming years. The last year's value of PPandE Turnover was reported at 29.59. The current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 15.33, while Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to decrease to 0.54.

Unitedhealth Implied Volatility

    
  26.8  
Unitedhealth's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Unitedhealth Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Unitedhealth's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Unitedhealth stock will not fluctuate a lot when Unitedhealth's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Unitedhealth. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Unitedhealth to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Unitedhealth because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Unitedhealth after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 465.64  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Unitedhealth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Unitedhealth in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
418.26499.04500.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
482.14483.51484.88
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
435.00481.63526.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (11)
LowProjected EPSHigh
18.6018.7418.87
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Unitedhealth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Unitedhealth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Unitedhealth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Unitedhealth Group.

Unitedhealth After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Unitedhealth at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Unitedhealth or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Unitedhealth, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Unitedhealth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Unitedhealth's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Unitedhealth's historical news coverage. Unitedhealth's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 464.27 and 467.01, respectively. We have considered Unitedhealth's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
464.73
7th of December 2021
464.27
Downside
465.64
After-hype Price
467.01
Upside
Unitedhealth is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Unitedhealth Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Unitedhealth Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Unitedhealth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Unitedhealth backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Unitedhealth, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.20  1.37  0.91   0.17  9 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
464.73465.640.20 
30.04  

Unitedhealth Hype Timeline

On the 7th of December Unitedhealth Group is traded for 464.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.91 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Unitedhealth is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 465.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 30.04%. The price rise on the next news is projected to be 0.2% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Unitedhealth is about 157.87% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 464.56. The company reported the last year's revenue of 272.1 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 14.51 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 67 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimatedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Also, please take a look at Unitedhealth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Unitedhealth Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Unitedhealth's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Unitedhealth's future price movements. Getting to know how Unitedhealth rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Unitedhealth may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
SEM
Select Medical Holdings(0.54) 10 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.28 (3.89)  8.55 
THC
Tenet Healthcare Corp 0.91 10 per month 2.08  0.0001  4.96 (3.22)  11.32 
UHS
Universal Health Services(0.01) 9 per month 0.00 (0.17)  2.66 (3.42)  8.28 
WCG
WellCare Health Plans 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BBI
Brickell Biotech(0.02) 6 per month 0.00 (0.32)  3.57 (5.45)  32.42 
A
Agilent Technologies(1.44) 8 per month 0.00 (0.17)  1.58 (2.90)  7.81 
BDX
Becton Dickinson And 3.12 9 per month 0.00 (0.0476)  1.79 (1.69)  5.01 
BHC
Bausch Health Companies(0.17) 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.49 (3.52)  17.37 
BIO
Bio-Rad Laboratories(9.66) 10 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.24 (2.45)  10.52 

Unitedhealth Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Unitedhealth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Unitedhealth using various technical indicators. When you analyze Unitedhealth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Unitedhealth Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Unitedhealth stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Unitedhealth Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Unitedhealth based on analysis of Unitedhealth hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Unitedhealth's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Unitedhealth's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.640.590.54
Interest Coverage11.5513.4715.21

Story Coverage note for Unitedhealth

The number of cover stories for Unitedhealth depends on current market conditions and Unitedhealth's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Unitedhealth is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Unitedhealth's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Unitedhealth Short Properties

Unitedhealth's future price predictability will typically decrease when Unitedhealth's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Unitedhealth Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Unitedhealth's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Unitedhealth's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.68%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate5.00
Short Percent Of Float0.68%
Float Shares937.7M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.73M
Shares Short Prior Month6.59M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.96M
Date Short Interest31st of August 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.12%
Also, please take a look at Unitedhealth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Unitedhealth Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Unitedhealth's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.

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When running Unitedhealth Group price analysis, check to measure Unitedhealth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Unitedhealth is operating at the current time. Most of Unitedhealth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Unitedhealth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Unitedhealth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Unitedhealth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Unitedhealth's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Unitedhealth. If investors know Unitedhealth will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Unitedhealth listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Unitedhealth Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Unitedhealth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Unitedhealth's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Unitedhealth's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Unitedhealth's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Unitedhealth's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Unitedhealth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Unitedhealth value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Unitedhealth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.