Uol Group Ltd Stock Price Prediction

UOLGY Stock  USD 16.73  0.11  0.66%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of UOL Group's share price is at 54. This usually implies that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling UOL Group, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
UOL Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of UOL Group shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of UOL Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of UOL Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from UOL Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with UOL Group Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of UOL Group based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The UOL stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on UOL Group over a specific investment horizon. Using UOL Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of UOL Group Ltd from the perspective of UOL Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in UOL Group. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in UOL Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying UOL because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

UOL Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out UOL Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of UOL Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.5717.0418.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8516.3217.78
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as UOL Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against UOL Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, UOL Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in UOL Group.

UOL Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of UOL Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in UOL Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of UOL Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

UOL Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting UOL Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on UOL Group's historical news coverage. UOL Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.26 and 18.20, respectively. We have considered UOL Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.73
16.73
After-hype Price
18.20
Upside
UOL Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of UOL Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

UOL Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as UOL Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading UOL Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with UOL Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.46
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Any time
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.73
16.73
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

UOL Group Hype Timeline

UOL Group is at this time traded for 16.73. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. UOL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on UOL Group is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.73. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 0.54. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. UOL Group has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 393.12. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be any time.
Check out UOL Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

UOL Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to UOL Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict UOL Group's future price movements. Getting to know how UOL Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how UOL Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

UOL Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine UOL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for UOL using various technical indicators. When you analyze UOL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About UOL Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of UOL Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as UOL Group Ltd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of UOL Group based on analysis of UOL Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to UOL Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to UOL Group's related companies.

Story Coverage note for UOL Group

The number of cover stories for UOL Group depends on current market conditions and UOL Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that UOL Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about UOL Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

UOL Group Short Properties

UOL Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when UOL Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of UOL Group Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential UOL Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. UOL Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding844.3 M
Check out UOL Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the UOL Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other UOL Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.

Complementary Tools for UOL Pink Sheet analysis

When running UOL Group's price analysis, check to measure UOL Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UOL Group is operating at the current time. Most of UOL Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UOL Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UOL Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UOL Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between UOL Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UOL Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UOL Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.