Wheels Up Experience Stock Price Prediction
UP Stock | USD 2.87 0.14 4.65% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Wheels Up Experience stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Wheels Up shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Wheels Up's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Wheels Up and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Wheels Up's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wheels Up Experience, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Wheels Up's stock price prediction:Wall Street Target Price 4 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Wheels Up based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Wheels stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wheels Up over a specific investment horizon. Using Wheels Up hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wheels Up Experience from the perspective of Wheels Up response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Wheels Up using Wheels Up's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Wheels using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Wheels Up's stock price.
Wheels Up Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Wheels Up's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Wheels. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Wheels Up stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Wheels Up may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Wheels Up and may potentially protect profits, hedge Wheels Up with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.3804 | Short Percent 0.0101 | Short Ratio 7.5 | Shares Short Prior Month 4 M | 50 Day MA 3.0844 |
Wheels Up Experience Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Wheels Up's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Wheels. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Wheels can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Wheels Up Experience. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Wheels Up's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Wheels Up.
Wheels Up Implied Volatility | 106.61 |
Wheels Up's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Wheels Up Experience stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Wheels Up's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Wheels Up stock will not fluctuate a lot when Wheels Up's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Wheels Up. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wheels Up to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wheels because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Wheels Up after-hype prediction price | USD 2.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Wheels |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wheels Up's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wheels Up After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Wheels Up at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wheels Up or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Wheels Up, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Wheels Up Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Wheels Up's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wheels Up's historical news coverage. Wheels Up's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 9.35, respectively. We have considered Wheels Up's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Wheels Up is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wheels Up Experience is based on 3 months time horizon.
Wheels Up Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Wheels Up is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wheels Up backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wheels Up, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 6.44 | 0.04 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.87 | 2.91 | 1.39 |
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Wheels Up Hype Timeline
As of March 29, 2024 Wheels Up Experience is listed for 2.87. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Wheels is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 2.91 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 1.39%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.28%. The volatility of related hype on Wheels Up is about 8050.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.89. The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.25 B. Annual Net Loss to common stockholders was (487.39 M) with gross profit of 43.49 M. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Wheels Up Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Wheels Up Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Wheels Up's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wheels Up's future price movements. Getting to know how Wheels Up rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wheels Up may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
UP | Wheels Up Experience | 0.14 | 10 per month | 8.21 | 0.02 | 13.41 | (12.36) | 66.63 | |
FLYX | Direxion Airline Shares | (0.40) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 16.31 | (25.89) | 63.15 | |
OMAB | Grupo Aeroportuario Del | (0.04) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.24 | (3.02) | 7.16 | |
PAC | Grupo Aeroportuario Del | 0.72 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 3.14 | (3.73) | 7.47 | |
BLDEW | Blade Air Mobility | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 27.78 | (18.89) | 116.40 | |
JTAIZ | JetAI Merger Consideration | 0.00 | 0 per month | 15.08 | 0.07 | 26.47 | (27.73) | 377.58 | |
JTAIW | JetAI Inc | 0.00 | 1 per month | 13.72 | 0.11 | 36.95 | (26.32) | 84.13 | |
ASLE | AerSale Corp | 0.26 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 4.89 | (5.15) | 31.45 | |
JOBY | Joby Aviation | (0.01) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.60 | (5.23) | 18.93 |
Wheels Up Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Wheels price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wheels using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wheels charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Wheels Up Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Wheels Up stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Wheels Up Experience, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wheels Up based on analysis of Wheels Up hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wheels Up's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wheels Up's related companies. 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.62 | 0.54 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.36 | 0.34 |
Story Coverage note for Wheels Up
The number of cover stories for Wheels Up depends on current market conditions and Wheels Up's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wheels Up is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wheels Up's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Wheels Up Short Properties
Wheels Up's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wheels Up's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wheels Up Experience often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wheels Up's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wheels Up's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.2 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 263.9 M |
Check out Wheels Up Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Wheels Stock analysis
When running Wheels Up's price analysis, check to measure Wheels Up's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wheels Up is operating at the current time. Most of Wheels Up's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wheels Up's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wheels Up's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wheels Up to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Wheels Up's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Wheels Up. If investors know Wheels will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Wheels Up listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (3.69) | Revenue Per Share 9.481 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.40) | Return On Assets (0.13) | Return On Equity (2.79) |
The market value of Wheels Up Experience is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wheels that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wheels Up's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wheels Up's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wheels Up's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wheels Up's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wheels Up's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wheels Up is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wheels Up's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.