Vericel Corp Ord Stock Price Prediction

VCEL Stock  USD 45.68  2.12  4.44%   
the RSI of Vericel Corp's stock price is about 69. This entails that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling a stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Vericel Corp Ord stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Vericel Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Vericel Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vericel Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vericel Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vericel Corp Ord, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vericel Corp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.343
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.15
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.16)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.12
Wall Street Target Price
47.4
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Vericel Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Vericel stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Vericel Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using Vericel Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vericel Corp Ord from the perspective of Vericel Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vericel Corp using Vericel Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vericel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vericel Corp's stock price.

Vericel Corp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Vericel Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Vericel. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Vericel Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Vericel Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Vericel Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Vericel Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
36.2547
Short Percent
0.058
Short Ratio
3.94
Shares Short Prior Month
1.7 M
50 Day MA
41.1852

Vericel Corp Ord Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Vericel Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vericel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vericel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vericel Corp Ord. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vericel Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vericel Corp.

Vericel Corp Implied Volatility

    
  66.43  
Vericel Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vericel Corp Ord stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vericel Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vericel Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vericel Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Vericel Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vericel Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vericel because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Vericel Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 45.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Vericel Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vericel Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Vericel Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.2142.2150.25
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.3841.0845.60
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.050.17-0.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vericel Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vericel Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vericel Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vericel Corp Ord.

Vericel Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vericel Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vericel Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vericel Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vericel Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vericel Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vericel Corp's historical news coverage. Vericel Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.63 and 48.63, respectively. We have considered Vericel Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
45.68
45.63
After-hype Price
48.63
Upside
Vericel Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vericel Corp Ord is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vericel Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vericel Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vericel Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vericel Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.44 
3.00
  0.05 
  0.25 
9 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
45.68
45.63
0.11 
2,500  
Notes

Vericel Corp Hype Timeline

Vericel Corp Ord is at this time traded for 45.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.25. Vericel is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 45.63. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.11% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Vericel Corp is about 527.47% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 45.93. About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 357.33. Vericel Corp Ord recorded a loss per share of 0.21. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:20 split on the 16th of October 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Vericel Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vericel Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vericel Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vericel Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Vericel Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vericel Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EPCEdgewell Personal Care 0.98 9 per month 1.52 (0.01) 2.70 (2.72) 6.58 
EMLEastern Co(0.08)9 per month 2.44  0.09  3.94 (3.14) 40.11 
ELEstee Lauder Companies 2.06 9 per month 2.04  0.06  3.84 (3.20) 15.69 
BXPBoston Properties 1.51 11 per month 2.01  0.06  5.52 (3.68) 14.64 
LIVELive Ventures 0.67 8 per month 2.25 (0.04) 3.64 (4.01) 17.52 
SHOOSteven Madden 0.13 8 per month 1.34  0.05  2.46 (2.71) 7.68 
SKXSkechers USA(0.19)8 per month 2.26  0.01  1.98 (2.25) 14.40 
IPARInter Parfums(0.53)10 per month 2.05  0.07  2.92 (2.71) 10.19 

Vericel Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vericel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vericel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vericel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Vericel Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vericel Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vericel Corp Ord, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vericel Corp based on analysis of Vericel Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vericel Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vericel Corp's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Calculated Tax Rate5.325.29
Long Term Debt to Equity0.670.73

Story Coverage note for Vericel Corp

The number of cover stories for Vericel Corp depends on current market conditions and Vericel Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vericel Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vericel Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Vericel Corp Short Properties

Vericel Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vericel Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vericel Corp Ord often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vericel Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vericel Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments119.5 M
When determining whether Vericel Corp Ord is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vericel Corp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vericel Corp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vericel Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Vericel Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Vericel Corp Ord information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vericel Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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Is Vericel Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vericel Corp. If investors know Vericel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vericel Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.343
Earnings Share
(0.21)
Revenue Per Share
3.902
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.182
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of Vericel Corp Ord is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vericel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vericel Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vericel Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vericel Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vericel Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vericel Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vericel Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vericel Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.