Veeco Instruments Stock Price Prediction

VECO Stock  USD 33.89  0.16  0.47%   
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Veeco Instruments' share price is below 20 . This entails that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Veeco Instruments stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Veeco Instruments shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Veeco Instruments' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Veeco Instruments and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Veeco Instruments' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Veeco Instruments, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Veeco Instruments' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.41
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.78
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.1
Wall Street Target Price
39.71
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Veeco Instruments based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Veeco stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Veeco Instruments over a specific investment horizon. Using Veeco Instruments hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Veeco Instruments from the perspective of Veeco Instruments response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Veeco Instruments using Veeco Instruments' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Veeco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Veeco Instruments' stock price.

Veeco Instruments Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Veeco Instruments' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Veeco. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Veeco Instruments stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Veeco Instruments may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Veeco Instruments and may potentially protect profits, hedge Veeco Instruments with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
30.101
Short Percent
0.1687
Short Ratio
17.76
Shares Short Prior Month
6.7 M
50 Day MA
35.1014

Veeco Instruments Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Veeco Instruments' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Veeco. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Veeco can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Veeco Instruments. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Veeco Instruments' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Veeco Instruments.

Veeco Instruments Implied Volatility

    
  49.68  
Veeco Instruments' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Veeco Instruments stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Veeco Instruments' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Veeco Instruments stock will not fluctuate a lot when Veeco Instruments' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Veeco Instruments. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Veeco Instruments to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Veeco because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Veeco Instruments after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 33.89  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Veeco contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Veeco Instruments will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.11% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Veeco Instruments trading at USD 33.89, that is roughly USD 1.05 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Veeco Instruments' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Veeco Instruments options at the current volatility level of 49.68%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Veeco Instruments Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Veeco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Veeco Instruments guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Veeco Instruments' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
31.2233.4035.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
28.9231.1033.28
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.6432.5736.15
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.400.410.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Veeco Instruments. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Veeco Instruments' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Veeco Instruments' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Veeco Instruments.

Veeco Instruments After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Veeco Instruments at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Veeco Instruments or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Veeco Instruments, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Veeco Instruments Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Veeco Instruments' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Veeco Instruments' historical news coverage. Veeco Instruments' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.71 and 36.07, respectively. We have considered Veeco Instruments' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
33.89
33.89
After-hype Price
36.07
Upside
Veeco Instruments is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Veeco Instruments is based on 3 months time horizon.

Veeco Instruments Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Veeco Instruments is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Veeco Instruments backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Veeco Instruments, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
2.18
 0.00  
  0.03 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
33.89
33.89
0.00 
4,360  
Notes

Veeco Instruments Hype Timeline

Veeco Instruments is at this time traded for 33.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.03. Veeco is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Veeco Instruments is about 655.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.92. About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Veeco Instruments was at this time reported as 11.93. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.53. Veeco Instruments recorded a loss per share of 0.56. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Veeco Instruments Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Veeco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Veeco Instruments guide.

Veeco Instruments Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Veeco Instruments' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Veeco Instruments' future price movements. Getting to know how Veeco Instruments' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Veeco Instruments may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KLACKLA Tencor 1.70 12 per month 2.18  0.01  3.09 (3.33) 10.12 
TERTeradyne 1.19 13 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.23 (4.08) 8.91 
AMATApplied Materials(0.14)12 per month 1.91  0.06  4.28 (3.32) 12.10 
AEHRAehr Test Systems(0.29)8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 8.54 (5.85) 32.78 
PLABPhotronics(0.42)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.97 (3.66) 19.30 
KLICKulicke and Soffa(0.37)10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 3.28 (3.67) 13.20 
ENTGEntegris 0.26 10 per month 1.90 (0.0004) 3.42 (3.65) 10.18 
IPGPIPG Photonics 0.73 10 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.19 (2.82) 18.60 

Veeco Instruments Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Veeco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Veeco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Veeco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Veeco Instruments Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Veeco Instruments stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Veeco Instruments, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Veeco Instruments based on analysis of Veeco Instruments hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Veeco Instruments's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Veeco Instruments's related companies.
 2021 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0040010.0036010.001866
Price To Sales Ratio2.42.51.54

Story Coverage note for Veeco Instruments

The number of cover stories for Veeco Instruments depends on current market conditions and Veeco Instruments' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Veeco Instruments is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Veeco Instruments' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Veeco Instruments Short Properties

Veeco Instruments' future price predictability will typically decrease when Veeco Instruments' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Veeco Instruments often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Veeco Instruments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Veeco Instruments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments305.8 M
When determining whether Veeco Instruments offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Veeco Instruments' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Veeco Instruments Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Veeco Instruments Stock:
Check out Veeco Instruments Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Veeco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Veeco Instruments guide.
Note that the Veeco Instruments information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Veeco Instruments' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.

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Is Veeco Instruments' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Veeco Instruments. If investors know Veeco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Veeco Instruments listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.82)
Earnings Share
(0.56)
Revenue Per Share
12.394
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.131
Return On Assets
0.0371
The market value of Veeco Instruments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Veeco that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Veeco Instruments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Veeco Instruments' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Veeco Instruments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Veeco Instruments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Veeco Instruments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Veeco Instruments is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Veeco Instruments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.