Vf Corporation Stock Price Prediction

VFC Stock  USD 15.09  0.83  5.82%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of VF's share price is approaching 41. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling VF, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
VF Corporation stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of VF shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of VF's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of VF and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from VF's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with VF Corporation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting VF's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.15
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.09
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.36
Wall Street Target Price
16.55
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of VF based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The VF stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on VF over a specific investment horizon. Using VF hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VF Corporation from the perspective of VF response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VF using VF's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VF using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VF's stock price.

VF Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in VF's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards VF. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of VF stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long VF may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about VF and may potentially protect profits, hedge VF with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
17.5859
Short Percent
0.0926
Short Ratio
3.2
Shares Short Prior Month
29 M
50 Day MA
15.9224

VF Corporation Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to VF's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in VF. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding VF can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around VF Corporation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of VF's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about VF.

VF Implied Volatility

    
  93.52  
VF's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VF Corporation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VF's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VF stock will not fluctuate a lot when VF's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in VF. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in VF to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying VF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

VF after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current VF contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that VF Corporation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.84% per day over the life of the 2024-03-28 option contract. With VF trading at USD 15.09, that is roughly USD 0.88 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating VF's daily price movement you should consider acquiring VF Corporation options at the current volatility level of 93.52%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out VF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5818.5321.80
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.8514.1217.39
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.0222.0024.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.250.020.30
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VF. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VF's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VF's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VF Corporation.

VF After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of VF at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in VF or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of VF, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

VF Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting VF's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on VF's historical news coverage. VF's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.64 and 18.18, respectively. We have considered VF's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.09
14.91
After-hype Price
18.18
Upside
VF is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of VF Corporation is based on 3 months time horizon.

VF Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as VF is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading VF backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with VF, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
3.36
  0.13 
  0.13 
11 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.09
14.91
1.19 
746.67  
Notes

VF Hype Timeline

On the 28th of March VF Corporation is traded for 15.09. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. VF is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.19%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.3%. The volatility of related hype on VF is about 784.44%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.96. About 88.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of VF was at this time reported as 5.43. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.17. VF Corporation recorded a loss per share of 1.97. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of March 2024. The firm had 1062:1000 split on the 23rd of May 2019. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out VF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

VF Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to VF's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict VF's future price movements. Getting to know how VF rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how VF may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

VF Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine VF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VF using various technical indicators. When you analyze VF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About VF Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of VF stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as VF Corporation, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of VF based on analysis of VF hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to VF's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to VF's related companies.
 2011 2012 2016 2024 (projected)
Price To Sales Ratio1.380.771.741.1
Price Earnings Ratio14.7174.9119.4516.02

Story Coverage note for VF

The number of cover stories for VF depends on current market conditions and VF's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that VF is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about VF's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

VF Short Properties

VF's future price predictability will typically decrease when VF's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of VF Corporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential VF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding388.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments814.9 M
When determining whether VF Corporation offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VF's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vf Corporation Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vf Corporation Stock:
Check out VF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the VF Corporation information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other VF's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.

Complementary Tools for VF Stock analysis

When running VF's price analysis, check to measure VF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VF is operating at the current time. Most of VF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is VF's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of VF. If investors know VF will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about VF listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.01)
Dividend Share
0.99
Earnings Share
(1.97)
Revenue Per Share
27.871
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.16)
The market value of VF Corporation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VF that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VF's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VF's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VF's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VF's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.