Verizon Stock Future Price Prediction

VZ
 Stock
  

USD 37.17  0.28  0.76%   

Verizon Communications stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Verizon Communications shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Verizon Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Verizon Communications and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Verizon Communications' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Verizon Communications, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Also, please take a look at Verizon Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Verizon Communications based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Verizon stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Verizon Communications over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.25) 
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.23
EPS Estimate Current Year
5.19
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.08
Wall Street Target Price
45.3
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.29
Using Verizon Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Verizon Communications from the perspective of Verizon Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Verizon Communications using Verizon Communications' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Verizon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Verizon Communications' stock price.
Verizon Communications Total Assets Per Share are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Verizon Communications reported Total Assets Per Share of 87.33 in 2021. Quick Ratio is likely to rise to 0.80 in 2022, whereas Interest Coverage is likely to drop 7.74 in 2022.

Verizon Communications Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Verizon Communications' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Verizon. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Verizon Communications stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Verizon Communications may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Verizon Communications and may potentially protect profits, hedge Verizon Communications with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
46.1116
Short Percent
0.0081
Short Ratio
1.33
Shares Short Prior Month
35.3 M
50 Day MA
37.7608
Shares Short
34 M

Verizon Communications Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Verizon Communications' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Verizon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Verizon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Verizon Communications. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Verizon Communications' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Verizon Communications.

Verizon Communications Implied Volatility

    
  29.31  
Verizon Communications' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Verizon Communications stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Verizon Communications' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Verizon Communications stock will not fluctuate a lot when Verizon Communications' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Verizon Communications. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Verizon Communications to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Verizon because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Verizon Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.92  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Verizon contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Verizon Communications will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.83% per day over the life of the 2022-12-09 option contract. With Verizon Communications trading at USD37.17, that is roughly USD0.68. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Verizon Communications' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Verizon Communications options at the current volatility level of 29.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Verizon Communications' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Verizon Communications in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
33.2642.8444.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
34.5436.1337.73
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
55.0059.8871.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (16)
LowProjected EPSHigh
5.345.395.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Verizon Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Verizon Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Verizon Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Verizon Communications.

Verizon Communications After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Verizon Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Verizon Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Verizon Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Verizon Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Verizon Communications' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Verizon Communications' historical news coverage. Verizon Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.33 and 38.51, respectively. We have considered Verizon Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 37.17
36.92
After-hype Price
38.51
Upside
Verizon Communications is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Verizon Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Verizon Communications Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Verizon Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Verizon Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Verizon Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13  1.59   0.03   0.05  7 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
37.1736.920.08 
757.14  

Verizon Communications Hype Timeline

As of December 7, 2022 Verizon Communications is listed for 37.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Verizon is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 36.92. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next newsis expected to be -0.08% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Verizon Communications is about 396.4% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 37.22. About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.83. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Verizon Communications last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2023. The entity had 1000000:93 split on the 2nd of July 2010. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Also, please take a look at Verizon Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Verizon Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Verizon Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Verizon Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Verizon Communications rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Verizon Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PFEPfizer Inc 0.21 9 per month 1.19  0.05  3.14 (2.01)  6.70 
BACBank Of America(1.57) 2 per month 2.04 (0.0281)  4.14 (2.97)  10.59 
JNJJohnson Johnson(0.21) 6 per month 0.94  0.06  1.58 (1.54)  5.18 
MMM3M Company(2.77) 8 per month 1.62 (0.0024)  3.38 (3.23)  8.28 
MRKMerck Company 2.99 8 per month 0.80  0.23  2.44 (1.43)  7.38 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp(2.75) 8 per month 1.89  0.0406  3.65 (2.91)  9.75 
BAThe Boeing 7.96 9 per month 3.20  0.07  4.65 (5.37)  14.69 
DDDupont De Nemours(0.51) 9 per month 1.47  0.15  3.91 (2.34)  10.00 
KOCoca-Cola Co 0.26 7 per month 1.16  0.0078  2.40 (1.60)  5.09 

Verizon Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Verizon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Verizon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Verizon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Verizon Communications Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Verizon Communications stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Verizon Communications, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Verizon Communications based on analysis of Verizon Communications hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Verizon Communications's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Verizon Communications's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.641.821.752.67
Interest Coverage6.596.899.447.74

Story Coverage note for Verizon Communications

The number of cover stories for Verizon Communications depends on current market conditions and Verizon Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Verizon Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Verizon Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Verizon Communications Short Properties

Verizon Communications' future price predictability will typically decrease when Verizon Communications' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Verizon Communications often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Verizon Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Verizon Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4150000000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments2921000000.00
Also, please take a look at Verizon Communications Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Verizon Communications information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Verizon Communications' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

Complementary Tools for Verizon Stock analysis

When running Verizon Communications price analysis, check to measure Verizon Communications' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Verizon Communications is operating at the current time. Most of Verizon Communications' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Verizon Communications' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Verizon Communications' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Verizon Communications to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Verizon Communications' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Verizon Communications. If investors know Verizon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Verizon Communications listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
(0.25) 
Market Capitalization
155.7 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.04
Return On Assets
0.0459
Return On Equity
0.2366
The market value of Verizon Communications is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Verizon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Verizon Communications' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Verizon Communications' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Verizon Communications' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Verizon Communications' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Verizon Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Verizon Communications value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Verizon Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.