Wabtec Stock Price Prediction

WAB -  USA Stock  

USD 77.63  0.20  0.26%

Wabtec Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Wabtec Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Wabtec Corp stock future price could yield a significant profit.
We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Wabtec Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Check out Wabtec Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Wabtec Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Wabtec stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Wabtec Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using Wabtec Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Wabtec Corp from the perspective of Wabtec Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Wabtec Corp Interest Coverage is projected to decrease significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Interest Coverage was at 3.74. The current year Long Term Debt to Equity is expected to grow to 0.41, whereas Cash and Equivalents Turnover is forecasted to decline to 10.87.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Wabtec Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Wabtec Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Wabtec because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Wabtec Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 77.52  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wabtec Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Wabtec Corp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
69.8784.2185.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
71.6173.0074.40
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
76.0088.8395.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (7)
LowProjected EPSHigh
4.104.214.40
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wabtec Corp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wabtec Corp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wabtec Corp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Wabtec Corp.

Wabtec Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Wabtec Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Wabtec Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Wabtec Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Wabtec Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Wabtec Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Wabtec Corp's historical news coverage. Wabtec Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.12 and 78.92, respectively. We have considered Wabtec Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
77.63
20th of June 2021
77.52
After-hype Price
78.92
Upside
Wabtec Corp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Wabtec Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Wabtec Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Wabtec Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Wabtec Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Wabtec Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07  1.40  0.11   0.05  5 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
77.6377.520.14 
89.74  

Wabtec Corp Hype Timeline

On the 20th of June Wabtec Corp is traded for 77.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Wabtec is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 77.52. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 89.74%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.14% whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Wabtec Corp is about 206.5% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 77.58. About 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.5. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. Wabtec Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.5. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 6th of May 2021. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of June 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Check out Wabtec Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Wabtec Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Wabtec Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Wabtec Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Wabtec Corp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Wabtec Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Wabtec Corp(1.56) 5 per month 1.25 (0.002)  2.42 (2.08)  5.69 
Diamond Offshore Drilling, 0.11 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
General Dynamics Corp(1.71) 8 per month 0.82  0.0414  2.06 (1.44)  5.37 
Noble Plc 0.0005 4 per month 111.60  0.12  25.53 (10.03)  95,463 
Nustar Energy LP 0.77 4 per month 0.00 (0.0185)  3.79 (4.75)  8.93 
Orbital ATK 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Owens Corning 0.30 9 per month 1.99  0.0187  3.28 (2.78)  9.25 
Owens-Illinois 0.05 10 per month 2.43  0.12  4.29 (4.28)  24.17 
Parsley Energy(0.53) 6 per month 2.97  0.19  7.40 (4.84)  24.76 
Parker-Hannifin Corp(4.21) 9 per month 0.00 (0.16)  1.74 (1.83)  7.61 

Wabtec Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Wabtec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Wabtec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Wabtec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Wabtec Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Wabtec Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Wabtec Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Wabtec Corp based on analysis of Wabtec Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Wabtec Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Wabtec Corp's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.320.440.37
Interest Coverage4.223.033.74

Story Coverage note for Wabtec Corp

The number of cover stories for Wabtec Corp depends on current market conditions and Wabtec Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Wabtec Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Wabtec Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Latest Perspective on Wabtec Corp

Wabtec Corp Short Properties

Wabtec Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Wabtec Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Wabtec Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Wabtec Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wabtec Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.85%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.48
Short Percent Of Float2.16%
Float Shares180.77M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day738.83k
Shares Short Prior Month3.14M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.33M
Date Short Interest15th of April 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.59%
Check out Wabtec Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Wabtec Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Wabtec Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Wabtec Corp price analysis, check to measure Wabtec Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wabtec Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Wabtec Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wabtec Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wabtec Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wabtec Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Wabtec Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Wabtec that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Wabtec Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Wabtec Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Wabtec Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Wabtec Corp underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Wabtec Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Wabtec Corp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wabtec Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.